Invitation Homes (INVH)
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-11-05
$27.56-0.04%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INVH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
INVH — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-07-08
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On July 8, 2026, Invitation Homes Operating Partnership LP (the “Issuer”), a Delaware limited partnership and the principal operating subsidiary of Invitation Homes Inc., a Maryland corporation (the “Company”), closed an underwritten public offering of $500 million aggregate principal amount of its 4.950% Senior Notes due 2032 (the “Notes”). The Notes are fully and unconditionall…
Why it matters: Management raised its full-year NOI growth goal to 1.2%. Meeting it would show that rent income still covers rising costs.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 same-store NOI growth is at least 1.2%.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 same-store NOI growth is below 1.2%.
Why it matters: In Q3, costs rose 2.5% while revenue rose 1.6%. That gap held NOI growth to 1.1%.
Worry ifIn a later quarter, same-store operating costs rise faster than same-store revenue. NOI growth falls below 1.1%.
Less concerning ifSame-store revenue growth matches or beats cost growth, and NOI growth stays at or above 1.1%.
Why it matters: Management plans to use home-sale proceeds for share buybacks when its stock trades below home values. The new program tests that plan.
Supportive ifA filing or earnings report shows more share repurchases under the new $500 million program. Home-sale proceeds fund them.
Worry ifA later report shows no more repurchases under the program, or says other funds paid for buybacks.
Why it matters: Q3 new-lease rents fell 0.2%, while renewal rents rose 4.3%. Positive new-lease growth would show fresh rents are firming.
Supportive ifA later quarterly report shows same-store new-lease rent growth above 0%.
Worry ifA later quarterly report shows same-store new-lease rent growth at or below -0.2%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$77 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $198 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,546 loss on $10,000 · 15.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.