Jack in the Box, Inc. (JACK)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JACK
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue executing the 'JACK on Track' plan involving restaurant closures and real estate sales to improve franchise profitability and system performance.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management has consistently emphasized executing the 'JACK on Track' plan including restaurant closures and real estate sales. Systemwide sales declined 1.4% in 2026-Q3 and restaurant count decreased by 13 net restaurants in the quarter, reflecting ongoing closures. The trajectory shows continued execution with moderate sales pressure consistent with management's stated plan.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=5213).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“As the Company continues to execute its 'JACK on Track' plan, which includes a block closure program and selling real estate.”
“We plan to accelerate our 'JACK on Track' commitments as we strengthen our foundation to support sustainable, long-term growth.”
“The Company expects an acceleration of closures into the back half of fiscal 2026 as it continues to execute its 'JACK on Track' plan.”
Maintain fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance in the range of $225 million to $230 million.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA grew from $57.1 million in 2025-Q3 to $61.2 million in 2026-Q3. Management has maintained guidance of $225 to $230 million for fiscal 2026, showing delivery consistent with their stated target.
“Adjusted EBITDA of $225 to $230 million for fiscal year ending September 27, 2026.”
“Adjusted EBITDA of $225 to $235 million guidance remains unchanged.”
“Adjusted EBITDA of $225 to $240 million guidance.”
Maintain capital expenditures guidance of $45 million to $55 million for fiscal year 2026, prioritizing sales-driving technology investments.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Management has consistently maintained capital expenditures guidance of $45 to $55 million for fiscal 2026, focusing on sales-driving technology investments. This reflects stable capital allocation discipline aligned with stated priorities.
“Capital Expenditures of $45 to $55 million, prioritizing sales-driving investments in technology.”
“Capital Expenditures of $45 to $55 million.”
“Capital Expenditures of $45 to $55 million, prioritizing sales-driving investments in technology.”
“Capital Expenditures of $45 to $55 million.”
Maintain company-owned restaurant level margin guidance around 16.5%, accounting for commodity and wage inflation.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Company-Owned Restaurant Level Margin was 17.6% in 2026-Q3, slightly down from 17.9% in 2025-Q3, reflecting commodity and wage inflation impacts. Management maintains guidance around 16.5% to 17%, showing limited margin contraction consistent with stated expectations.
“Company-Owned Restaurant Level Margin of approximately 16.5%.”
“Company-Owned Restaurant Level Margin of approximately 17%.”
“Company-Owned Restaurant Level Margin of 17 to 18%.”
Focus on improving franchisee profitability and restaurant execution to build a stronger foundation for sustainable growth.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 3 quarters. Management emphasizes improving franchisee profitability and execution as part of the 'JACK on Track' plan. Financial results show modest sales declines and margin pressures, indicating ongoing challenges but consistent focus on these operational improvements.
“Focused on improving restaurant performance and executing priorities to strengthen franchisee profitability.”
“Plan to accelerate 'JACK on Track' commitments to strengthen foundation for sustainable growth.”
Over the trailing year it converted 2.03x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 45% for the rest of the cohort, n=3652).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
22 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=1937).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.