Kirby Corporation (KEX)
NYSEIndustrialsMarine ShippingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$119.47-6.75%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsMarine ShippingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KEX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -31.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 11.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KEX — President transition
Dated 2026-10-08
Controller — Ronald A. Dragg: The filing announces the planned retirement of the Controller, a senior financial officer, with an orderly transition period and no indication of conflict or sudden loss.
Why it matters: The deal adds boats, barges, and a Corpus Christi-area site. Closing would expand Kirby's South Texas network.
Supportive ifKirby confirms the $115 million inland marine asset deal closed in Q4 2026.
Worry ifKirby reports that the deal did not close in Q4 or that it was canceled.
Why it matters: Kirby raised its full-year EPS growth range to 10% to 15%. Results near or above 15% would top the range.
Supportive ifKirby reports 2026 EPS growth of 15% or more versus 2025.
Worry ifKirby reports 2026 EPS growth below 10% versus 2025.
Why it matters: Kirby set a $575 million to $675 million cash flow range. Working capital stayed high in Q3.
Worry ifKirby reports at least $575 million in 2026 operating cash flow and no more than $260 million in capital spending.
Less concerning ifKirby reports less than $575 million in 2026 operating cash flow or more than $260 million in capital spending.
Why it matters: Kirby said more planned shipyard work and higher fuel costs may pressure coastal margins in Q4.
Worry ifQ4 coastal operating margin falls below the mid-teens range.
Less concerning ifQ4 coastal operating margin stays in the mid-teens range or higher despite shipyard work and fuel costs.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$91 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $226 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,604 loss on $10,000 · 16.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.