Koppers Holdings, Inc. (KOP)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$42.89+2.61%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KOP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -57.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 62.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers
KOP — strategy / product update — Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities
Dated 2026-05-08
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. On May 8, 2026, the Company announced that it has made a conditional decision to discontinue distillation and chemical manufacturing operations at its facility in Stickney, Illinois, subject to the satisfaction of any bargaining obligations that might exist with the union that represents certain employees at that facility. The conditional decision, which is pending negotiations and consultation with the union, was driven by challenging market…
Why it matters: Koppers cut the top of its EBITDA range to $250 million. It also said costs and freight remain headwinds.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA is below $240 million, the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA is at least $240 million.
Why it matters: The release can show whether Koppers stays within its full-year ranges for earnings and cash flow.
Watch forThe Q3 release keeps 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance at $240 million or more and free cash flow at $110 million or more.
Also watch forThe Q3 release cuts adjusted EBITDA guidance below $240 million or free cash flow below $110 million.
Why it matters: Record cash flow in the first half helped Koppers cut debt and return cash to shareholders. The full-year range is $110 million to $130 million.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is below $110 million.
Less concerning ifFull-year free cash flow reaches at least $110 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $376 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,389 loss on $10,000 · 23.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.