Kontoor Brands (KTB)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$79.18-3.39%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KTB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
KTB — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-22
Other Events. On October 22, 2026, Kontoor Brands, Inc. issued a press release announcing that its Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.54 per share of its common stock, payable on December 18, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 8, 2026. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Management called for mid-single-digit sales growth in both brands in the second half. Q3 results will test that plan.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue for both Wrangler and Helly Hansen grows at least 5% year over year, excluding the 2025 extra week.
Worry ifEither brand reports flat or falling Q3 revenue year over year, excluding the 2025 extra week.
Why it matters: Kontoor's 2026 plan assumes a 15% reciprocal tariff rate for the second half. New import duties could add costs and weaken margins.
Worry ifKontoor cuts its 2026 adjusted gross margin range below 49.8% and cites tariffs or higher import costs.
Less concerning ifKontoor keeps its 49.8%–50.0% adjusted gross margin range and reports no added tariff cost beyond its plan.
Why it matters: The sale is set to fund a $400 million share repurchase and debt payments. A delay could push those plans back.
Supportive ifKontoor reports that the Lee sale closed in Q4 2026 and confirms plans for the $400 million share repurchase.
Worry ifThe sale does not close by year-end 2026, or Kontoor delays or cancels the planned $400 million repurchase.
Why it matters: Kontoor raised its 2026 adjusted EPS range to $5.25–$5.35. Q3 results will show whether it can meet that higher range.
Supportive ifQ3 results keep adjusted EPS on pace for at least $5.25 in 2026 and keep the full-year range at $5.25–$5.35.
Worry ifKontoor cuts its 2026 adjusted EPS range below $5.25 or reports results that put the range out of reach.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$164 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $434 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,851 loss on $10,000 · 28.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.