Kontoor Brands (KTB)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$73.59-0.11%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KTB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KTB — director transition
Dated 2026-07-24
Director — Thomas E. Waldron: The Board of Directors appointed Thomas E. Waldron as a new director.
Why it matters: Revenue growth from Wrangler and Helly Hansen shows strong brand performance. This helps the growth plan.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue from continuing operations is over $660 million. This shows strong growth.
Worry ifQ2 revenue from continuing operations is under $600 million. This suggests weakness.
Why it matters: Closing this deal will give money for share buybacks and paying off debt. This will change how capital is used.
Supportive ifThe Lee sale will close as planned in Q4 2026. This will allow $400 million for share buybacks.
Worry ifThe Lee sale is delayed past Q4 2026. This will slow down capital plans.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can show consumer demand. This affects Kontoor's revenue outlook.
Watch forJune retail sales report shows an increase in consumer spending month over month.
Also watch forJune retail sales report shows a decline in consumer spending month over month.
Why it matters: This target shows Helly Hansen's growth potential. Meeting it would boost investor confidence in Kontoor's strategy.
Supportive ifHelly Hansen will make over $1.1 billion by 2030. This shows the growth strategy works.
Worry ifHelly Hansen will make less than $1.1 billion by 2030. This shows the strategy is not working.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$222 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $429 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,290 loss on $10,000 · 32.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Updates on share buybacks show that management is confident. They also show the plan for spending money.
Watch forManagement announces big share buybacks in the new program.
Also watch forManagement stops or greatly cuts share buybacks.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial strength and a promise to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company will pay a quarterly dividend of $0.53 per share as planned.
Worry ifThere is news of a dividend cut or suspension.
Why it matters: This growth rate is important. It supports Kontoor's investment in Helly Hansen and its overall plan.
Supportive ifHelly Hansen revenue growth rate exceeds 10% in 2026, confirming strong market demand.
Worry ifHelly Hansen revenue growth rate falls below 10% in 2026, suggesting weak market performance.
Why it matters: Revenue growth above 12% shows strong demand for Kontoor's brands. It also shows success with Helly Hansen.
Supportive ifRevenue growth remains in the range of 12% to 13% for the full year 2026.
Worry ifRevenue growth is below 12%. This may mean there are demand issues.
Why it matters: This range indicates strong earnings growth and reflects the company's financial health.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS for 2026 lands in the range of $5.25 to $5.35, showing solid growth.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS for 2026 is below $5.25. This shows earnings are weaker than expected.
Why it matters: If revenue growth slows, it may indicate a shift in the consumer discretionary sector. This could impact investor confidence.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median for the sector in the next earnings report.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector in the next earnings report.
Why it matters: Confirming the dividend shows the company is stable. It also shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe Board declares the next quarterly dividend of $0.53 per share, payable on September 18, 2026.
Worry ifThe Board cancels or reduces the dividend payment.
Why it matters: Using money from the Lee sale for share repurchases shows confidence in the company. It also helps shareholders.
Supportive ifKontoor announces a share repurchase program with money from the Lee sale.
Worry ifNo share repurchases are announced after the sale. This shows a change in how capital is used.
Why it matters: Hitting this growth target shows strong demand for Wrangler and Helly Hansen. This supports the full-year outlook.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth from continuing operations is at least 12% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 9% year over year.
Why it matters: Approval is needed to finish the sale. This will change Kontoor's focus and spending.
Supportive ifRegulators approve the sale of the Lee business to Authentic Brands Group.
Worry ifRegulators say no or take time to approve. This raises doubts about the sale.
Why it matters: Updates on share buybacks will show how Kontoor uses money after the Lee sale.
Supportive ifKontoor says it has finished share buybacks of at least $100 million.
Worry ifNo updates or major share buybacks are reported in the next quarter.
Why it matters: New tariffs could affect costs and pricing, impacting margins and revenue growth.
Worry ifThe company reports a significant increase in costs due to new Section 301 tariffs.
Less concerning ifThe company reduces tariff impacts. It does this without raising costs much.