LCI Industries (LCII)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$104.28+2.39%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LCII
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 14.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers
LCII — director transition
Dated 2026-07-20
Director — Robert P. Hureau: Mr. Robert P. Hureau was elected to the Board and appointed to multiple committees.
Why it matters: Aftermarket sales grew 11% in Q2 and 7% in Q1. Another double-digit gain would show this business can grow while RV demand stays soft.
Supportive ifLCI reports Q3 Aftermarket sales growth above 10% year over year.
Worry ifLCI reports Q3 Aftermarket sales growth below 7% year over year, or a decline.
Why it matters: LCI says cost cuts and plant changes have lifted margins. Higher margins would show these steps can offset soft RV demand.
Supportive ifQ3 operating margin rises from last year. Adjusted margin stays above Q2's level.
Worry ifQ3 operating margin falls year over year or adjusted margin drops below Q2's level.
Why it matters: Q2 content per unit rose 11% to $5,831 despite a shift toward lower-content trailers. Holding that level would show new products still add value.
Supportive ifQ3 towable RV content per unit is above $5,800 year over year.
Worry ifQ3 towable RV content per unit falls below $5,800 or declines year over year.
Why it matters: LCI's interim CEO said both teams see long-term value in the deal. Closing the merger would put that plan into action.
Watch forLCI or Patrick reports that the merger has closed.
Also watch forLCI or Patrick says the merger is over or will close after the stated deal timeline.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$134 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $334 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,979 loss on $10,000 · 49.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.