Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc (LOAN)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.31-2.65%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.44 → 0.42 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for LOAN yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Effective management of debt and share buybacks | A supporting condition in Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc's published investment case. The stated target is Maintain credit agreements and execute share buybacks as planned. | Intact | Material credit agreement breaches or suspension of buybacks | Buyback authorized 250k shares vs 100k prior; no breach Buyback program expanded to 250k shares and extended 12 months. Credit agreements amended. No breaches or suspensions reported. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
LOAN is a cheap-versus-peers, rate-sensitive Real Estate investment with a fragile earnings profile. Its long-term thesis is intact, and company momentum has improved, but recent financial performance is neutral rather than clearly strong.
The evidence describes LOAN as cheap versus peers, while the expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations are not especially demanding. The pricing is tagged as justified, with low fragility concentration, so the evidence does not point to the market overlooking a broad stack of risks.
Near term, stable net income and operating income remain management priorities, and both are on watch. A share buyback was announced in October, while momentum improved from a more negative reading; however, earnings quality is fragile and the next-print miss risk is elevated.
Over the multi-year view, the thesis benefits if rate cuts support rate-sensitive Real Estate names. It faces pressure if sector bellwethers show weaker results or guidance, or if further job-market weakening raises recession concerns. Execution on stable income and the share buyback authorization also remains important.
The 1-to-3-year thesis remains intact, with a peer-valuation discount and improving momentum offset by fragile earnings quality and elevated near-term risk. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Maintain positive earnings per share around $0.44 annually | A primary condition in Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >= $0.40 EPS. | Intact | EPS falls below $0.40 in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth stays above -5% annually | A primary condition in Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >= -5% YoY. | Intact | Revenue growth falls below -5% next year | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.44 → $0.42 · observed estimates
Unavailable → $0.01B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.44 | Unavailable | 1 / 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.44 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.42 | $8,541,593 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.