Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$47.39+6.33%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LTH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LTH — director transition
Dated 2026-08-27
Director — J. Kristofer Galashan, Paul Hackwell: Two directors resigned from the board of directors, representing a change in board composition but not a loss of senior operating executives.
Why it matters: Life Time raised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA range to $958 million to $962 million. Results in that range would meet the latest profit outlook.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA is at least $958 million.
Worry if2026 adjusted EBITDA for the full year is below $958 million.
Why it matters: Life Time had opened eight clubs by October, with six still planned for the fourth quarter. Opening them would meet its stated growth plan.
Supportive ifLife Time reports all 14 planned 2026 clubs opened by year-end.
Worry ifFewer than 14 clubs open by year-end, or any of the remaining six openings are delayed beyond 2026.
Why it matters: Life Time raised its 2026 comparable center revenue outlook to 8.5% to 8.7%. A lower result would miss that target.
Worry ifComparable center revenue growth for the full year is below 8.5%.
Less concerning ifFull-year comparable center revenue growth is at least 8.5%.
Why it matters: Life Time reported $262.5 million in sale-leaseback proceeds through September and planned about $135 million more. The full-year goal is about $400 million.
Supportive ifFourth-quarter sale-leaseback deals add about $135 million. This brings 2026 proceeds to roughly $400 million.
Worry ifFourth-quarter deals add far less than $135 million, leaving full-year proceeds well below roughly $400 million.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$103 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $314 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,649 loss on $10,000 · 16.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.