Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.93-5.25%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LUNR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -48.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 100.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 148.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
LUNR — director transition
Dated 2026-10-22
Director — Michael Blitzer: The filing reports the resignation of a director and the immediate appointment of a successor, which is a standard board succession event rather than a loss of senior executive management.
Why it matters: The November 12 report will show whether strong Q2 sales continue. The yearly plan calls for $900 million to $1 billion in revenue.
Watch forQ3 revenue and updated results keep the company on pace for at least $900 million in 2026 revenue.
Also watch forQ3 results or a lower yearly revenue outlook point below $900 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Backlog reached $1.8 billion after a record $920 million in Q2 awards. The next update can show whether new work keeps pace with delivery.
Supportive ifThe next report shows backlog above $1.8 billion and lists new awards that add to contracted work.
Worry ifThe next report shows backlog below $1.8 billion, with no new awards that offset work completed.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$385 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $941 loss on $10,000 · 9.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,842 loss on $10,000 · 78.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.