Matthews International Corporation (MATW)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$21.13+0.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MATW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -7.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MATW — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-09-04
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a key indicator of sector health. A drop signals potential issues.
Worry ifRevenue growth drops below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: Saving $60 million is important for Propelis' finances. This will affect Matthews' earnings.
Supportive ifPropelis reports achieving at least $30 million in cost synergies by the end of fiscal 2026.
Worry ifPropelis does not report major cost savings by the end of fiscal 2026.
Why it matters: The new CEO's plan will guide the company's path and may impact investor trust.
Watch forThe new CEO announces a clear strategic plan that aligns with shareholder value creation.
Also watch forThe new CEO does not share a clear plan or faces immediate problems.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can change company strategy. Watching this will show future plans.
Watch forNew CEO Michael Whitehead outlines a clear strategic plan within the next quarter.
Also watch forNo clear strategic direction is communicated by the new CEO in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$127 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $299 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,939 loss on $10,000 · 29.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Steady dividend payments show financial health. They show a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company pays the declared dividend of $0.255 per share on August 24, 2026, as scheduled.
Worry ifThe company cuts or stops the dividend payment set for August 24, 2026.
Why it matters: Improving operating income is key for Matthews. A positive change shows progress.
Supportive ifOperating income improves from -$3.18M in Q2 to above -$1M.
Worry ifOperating income falls more or stays below -$3.18M.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow is key for running the business and funding growth.
Supportive ifCash from operations turns positive in Q3 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations stays negative in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Sales growth in this segment is crucial for overall company performance. Continued headwinds could signal deeper issues.
Supportive ifMemorialization segment sales grow year over year by more than 5% in the next quarter.
Worry ifMemorialization segment sales fall year over year. This shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Sales growth of the new product is key for the Product Identification segment. Low sales could mean market problems.
Supportive ifMPERIA Axian Inkjet systems achieve over $1 million in sales in the next quarter.
Worry ifSales stay below $1 million. This suggests low market acceptance.