Matthews International Corporation (MATW)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$19.80-2.56%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MATW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers
MATW — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-09-04
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: The system made its first commercial sales, and Linx may open more UK and France customers. Reported sales would show if interest turns into business.
Supportive ifMatthews reports repeat or higher MPERIA Axian Inkjet sales. It names new customers through the Linx partnership.
Worry ifMatthews reports no repeat sales. Or it says customer interest and the Linx partnership have not led to more orders.
Why it matters: Propelis synergies were late, cutting Matthews' full-year forecast by about $5 million. More gains could help close that gap.
Supportive ifMatthews reports its 40% share of Propelis results. It confirms synergy gains are moving toward the $60 million target.
Worry ifMatthews reports another shortfall due to late Propelis synergies. Or it lowers its estimate of gains from the $60 million target.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$126 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $314 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,560 loss on $10,000 · 35.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.