Matthews International Corporation (MATW)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MATW
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $21 MATW trades at 29× p/e — 1.9× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $19 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ddm gordon | 12M | $13.76 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $16.04 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $69.26 | 10.4 | 6.62 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $11.19 | 15.1 | 0.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
| $28.94 |
| 0.8 |
| 35.25 |
| TTM |
| high |
| residual income | 12M | $13.84 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $11.52 | 15.1 | 0.76 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $20.39 | 15.1 | 1.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $17.74 | 0.8 | 21.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $14.72 | 15.1 | 0.97 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $12.80 | 0.8 | 15.60 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |