Mistras Group, Inc. (MG)
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$20.23+0.25%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 6.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MG — litigation filed
Dated 2026-09-18
Other Events. Voting Agreements Concurrently with the execution of the Merger Agreement, each director and named executive officer of the Company and certain other stockholders of the Company entered into voting and support agreements (the “Voting Agreements”) with Parent, pursuant to which such stockholders have agreed, among other things, to vote their shares of Company Common Stock in favor of the adoption of the Merger Agreement and against any competing acquisition proposal, and not to e…
Why it matters: No rival bid arrived during the go-shop period. A later offer could change the deal path.
Supportive ifA company filing names a new offer. The board calls it a superior proposal under the merger agreement.
Worry ifNo rival offer is disclosed, and the H.I.G. deal proceeds under its current terms.
Why it matters: MG aims to grow free cash flow and reach 2x leverage by year-end. Better cash flow can help lower debt.
Supportive ifA 2026 filing shows leverage at or below 2.0x and free cash flow above the first-half $3.7 million.
Worry ifA 2026 filing shows leverage above 2.0x or full-year free cash flow at or below $3.7 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$114 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $365 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,220 loss on $10,000 · 22.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.