Markel Group Inc (MKL)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - Property & CasualtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$1949.92-0.23%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - Property & CasualtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MKL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MKL — litigation filed
Dated 2026-10-28
Regulation FD Disclosure On October 28, 2026, Markel Insurance issued a press release announcing the Agreement. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. This Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, contains forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. Forward-looking statements include, among others, statements regarding the expected timing and completion of the transaction contemplated…
Why it matters: Tom Gayner became chairman, and Steve Markel plans to leave the board at the 2027 annual meeting. The meeting will mark the next step in succession.
Watch forMarkel confirms Steve Markel leaves the board at the 2027 annual meeting, with Tom Gayner as chairman.
Also watch forMarkel announces a delay or a different chair or board plan before the 2027 annual meeting.
Why it matters: The cover ends at $1.2 billion above the subject reserves. Losses beyond that level could leave more risk with Markel.
Worry ifMarkel reports adverse losses above the $4.8 billion subject reserves. These losses reach or exceed the $1.2 billion cover limit.
Less concerning ifMarkel reports no adverse loss growth above the $4.8 billion subject reserves.
Why it matters: The deal covers $1.2 billion of losses above $4.8 billion in reserves. Closing would add certainty as these claims run off.
Supportive ifRegulators approve the deal. Markel confirms it closed by December 31, 2026.
Worry ifMarkel reports a delay past year-end, a failed approval, or a change to the deal terms.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$64 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $166 loss on $10,000 · 1.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,187 loss on $10,000 · 21.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.