Altria (MO)
NYSEConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-11-04
$78.01+1.39%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -9.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MO — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-09
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Effective October 7, 2026, Altria Group, Inc. (“Altria”) entered into an extension agreement (the “2026 Extension Agreement”) to amend its $3.0 billion senior unsecured 5-year revolving credit agreement, dated as of October 24, 2023, as previously extended by the Extension Agreement, effective July 23, 2025 (collectively, the “Credit Agreement”), with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. and Citibank, N.A., as administrative agents, and the lenders named there…
Why it matters: Altria expanded its repurchase plan and returned $735 million through the first nine months. Further purchases would show the company is carrying out its cash return plan.
Supportive ifAltria reports more share repurchases in Q4. It confirms the expanded program stays active through December 31, 2027.
Worry ifAltria reports no share repurchases in Q4 or suspends the expanded program.
Why it matters: The launch would extend on! PLUS after its wider rollout and two new flavor launches. Store availability would show whether that plan is moving ahead.
Supportive ifAltria confirms Watermelon Mint is sold in select retail stores in Q4. It comes in 6-, 9-, and 12-milligram strengths.
Worry ifAltria reports the Q4 launch was delayed or did not reach select stores.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$98 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $211 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,463 loss on $10,000 · 14.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.