MO
AltriaNYSEConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, MO has a composite score of 17.7 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score reflects medium confidence at 77.0 and is influenced by various factors, including a macro score of 15.5 and a management score of 70.1. The analysis is provisional and considers potential changes in guidance and sector trends as key drivers.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.06
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.47 → $1.49 (+1.1% / 30d). 7 raised, 1 cut, 11 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 36% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 0.7% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
1 priority extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Deliver EPS growthgrowthmixed65% progress
4/30: “We reaffirm our expectation to deliver 2026 full-year adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $5.56 to $5.72.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 is $5.56 to $5.72, representing a growth rate of 2.5% to 5.5% from a base of $5.42 in 2025. The trajectory is on track with management's stated growth objectives.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 31%; 252d 23%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −16%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 0.88 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 62/100, drawdown 67/100, beta 88/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Deliver EPS growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on delivering EPS growth through operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives.
On track →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 is $5.56 to $5.72, representing a growth rate of 2.5% to 5.5% from a base of $5.42 in 2025. The trajectory is on track with management's stated growth objectives.
65%CEO/CFO:“We reaffirm our expectation to deliver 2026 full-year adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $5.56 to $5.72.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-30Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We reaffirm our expectation to deliver 2026 full-year adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $5.56 to $5.72.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“We expect to deliver 2026 full-year adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $5.56 to $5.72.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“We are raising the lower-end of our 2025 full-year guidance and now expect to deliver adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $5.37 to $5.45.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MO Altria | +18 | fair | low |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-308d agoItem 2.02
104 The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL (included as Exhibit 101) 2 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ALTRIA GROUP, INC. By: /s/ MARY C. BIGELOW Name: Mary C. Bigelow Title: Vice President, Corporate Secretary and Associate General Counsel DATE: April 30, 2026 3
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54 - 2026-01-293mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 28, 2026, Altria’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) upon the recommendation of the Nominating, Corporate Governance and Social Responsibility Committee of the Board, increased the size of the Board from 11 to 12 directors and elected Salvatore Mancuso to the Board, in each case, effective January 29, 2026. The Board did not name Mr. Manc…
executive changeneutralscore 8 - 2026-01-293mo agoItem 2.02
104 The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL (included as Exhibit 101) 2 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ALTRIA GROUP, INC. By: /s/ MARY C. BIGELOW Name: Mary C. Bigelow Title: Vice President, Corporate Secretary and Associate General Counsel DATE: January 29, 2026 3
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 7 - 2025-12-114mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 8, 2025, William F. Gifford, Jr. informed the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Altria Group, Inc. (“Altria”) of his decision to retire as a director of Altria and as Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”), effective May 14, 2026 at the conclusion of Altria’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders (“2026 Annual Meeting”), having completed more…
executive changeneutralscore 3 - 2025-05-1911mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Controller Transition On May 13, 2025, Steven D’Ambrosia, Vice President and Controller of Altria Group, Inc. (“Altria”), announced his intention to retire as Vice President and Controller effective July 31, 2025. On May 15, 2025, Altria’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) elected Katie F. Patterson to become Vice President and Controller of Altria,…
executive changeneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.