Modine Manufacturing Co. (MOD)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$194.66+4.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MOD
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within consumer discretionary on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks MOD against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 4 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=6943).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Achieve full-year net sales growth between 20% and 35% driven by growth in Data Centers and Commercial HVAC segments.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $682.8 million in 2026-Q1 to $874.1 million in 2027-Q1, a 28% increase year-over-year. Management's fiscal 2027 guidance targets net sales growth of 20% to 35%, consistent with recent strong segment growth and backlog expansion, indicating delivery on this priority.
“Fiscal 2027 Current Outlook Net Sales +20% to 35%”
“Based on current exchange rates and market conditions, Modine provides its outlook for fiscal 2027: Fiscal 2027 Current Outlook Net Sales +20% to 35%”
“Based on current exchange rates and market conditions, Modine provides its outlook for fiscal 2027: Fiscal 2027 Current Outlook Net Sales +20% to 35%”
Target adjusted EBITDA in the range of $650 million to $680 million for fiscal 2027, reflecting growth and operational improvements.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA grew from approximately $101.4 million in 2026-Q1 to $106.5 million in 2027-Q1 (+5%). Fiscal 2027 guidance targets adjusted EBITDA between $650 million and $680 million, consistent with recent quarterly growth, indicating management is delivering on this priority.
Continue strategic transformation including acquisitions in Climate Solutions and pending spin-off of Performance Technologies segment.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management completed three acquisitions in Climate Solutions and is on track to close the Performance Technologies spin-off in Q4 calendar 2026. These actions demonstrate ongoing delivery on the strategic transformation priority.
“Planned spin-off and merger of Performance Technologies business with Gentherm remains firmly on schedule to close in Q4 calendar 2026.”
Sustain positive free cash flow generation despite increased capital expenditures for capacity expansion.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Free cash flow was a use of $5.0 million in 2027-Q1 due to higher capital expenditures, following $105.4 million free cash flow in fiscal 2026, down $23.9 million from prior year. Management maintains a positive free cash flow outlook while investing in capacity expansion, indicating mixed progress.
Over the trailing year it converted 0.70x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated fragile grew net income 40% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=3652).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
14 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2538).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Fiscal 2027 Current Outlook Adjusted EBITDA $650 to $680 million”
“Based on current exchange rates and market conditions, Modine provides its outlook for fiscal 2027: Adjusted EBITDA $650 to $680 million”
“Based on current exchange rates and market conditions, Modine provides its outlook for fiscal 2027: Adjusted EBITDA $650 to $680 million”
“Completion of three acquisitions in Climate Solutions segment and announced pending spin-off of Performance Technologies business.”
“Advancing transformation including acquisitions and pending spin-off of Performance Technologies segment.”
“Free cash flow for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, was a use of $5.0 million, primarily due to higher capital expenditures.”
“Free cash flow for fiscal year ended March 31, 2026 was $105.4 million, down from prior year due to increased working capital and capex.”
“Maintaining positive free cash flow outlook despite investments in Data Centers capacity expansion.”