MSCI Inc. (MSCI)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$655.91-2.73%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MSCI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 15.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MSCI — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-07
interim principal accounting officer (Global Controller) — Andrew C. Wiechmann (principal financial officer) and Kristine Johnson (Global Controller): The company appointed existing executives to interim roles due to the departure of the Global Controller and Chief Accounting Officer.
Why it matters: Q3 operating costs rose 12.8%, and expense guidance was raised. A further rise could squeeze margins.
Worry ifFull-year operating expense guidance stays at $1,535 million or higher. Or Q4 operating costs rise at least 12.8% year over year.
Less concerning ifFull-year operating expense guidance falls below $1,535 million. Q4 operating costs grow less than 12.8%.
Why it matters: Record ETF assets helped lift Q3 Index fees. A further gain would support this growth stream.
Supportive ifQ4 Index asset-based fee revenue grows at least 24.9% year over year.
Worry ifQ4 Index asset-based fee revenue growth falls below 24.9% year over year.
Why it matters: Recurring subscriptions are a core growth goal. Q3 organic Run Rate growth was 8.7%.
Supportive ifQ4 organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth is at least 8.7%, matching or beating Q3.
Worry ifQ4 organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth falls below 8.7%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$99 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $256 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,807 loss on $10,000 · 18.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.