Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
MOTORSPORT GAMES INC (MSGM)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.27-3.61%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.09 → 1.09 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for MSGM yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain disciplined capital allocation including share buybacks and credit management | The company manages capital well with share buybacks and credit amendments. | Intact | management stops share buybacks and increases debt without clear plan | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
MSGM is a small-cap growth and profitability story, not yet a proven durable compounder. Its long-term thesis is intact, though the signal has softened from favorable to mildly favorable.
The evidence describes MSGM as cheap versus peers, with valuation expectations below the model’s baseline. The market does not appear to price in a strongly fragile setup, but the valuation gap alone does not resolve the company’s execution and sector risks.
Near-term results have been strong: first-half revenue grew 74%, subscription revenue expanded, and the company reported six consecutive quarters of positive net income through 2026-Q2. Management’s priorities around diversification and profitability are on track, but earnings quality remains fragile and the sector backdrop is a headwind.
Over the next few quarters, a guidance cut would challenge the thesis, while continued execution on revenue diversification and profitability would support it. Rate cuts or strong results from sector peers could improve the backdrop, but MSGM’s high risk and volatile management remain important swing factors.
For the next 1 to 3 years, MSGM’s thesis rests on turning recent growth and profit improvement into consistent execution despite a difficult sector backdrop. The current evidence is constructive but not conclusive. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Operating income improved to $1.06 million in 2026-Q1. |
| Intact |
| net income falls below $0.32 million in any quarter after 2026-Q1 |
Net income: $401,463 FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=0.32 million USD. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Aug 14, 2026401,463 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Operating income rises to at least $1.06 million in 2026-Q1 | Operating income improved to $1.06 million in 2026-Q1. | Intact | operating income falls below $0.57 million in any quarter after 2026-Q1 | Operating income: $638,264 FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=1.06 million USD. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Aug 14, 2026638,264 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue grows about 36% in the next 12 months | Motorsport Games grows revenue about 36% next year. | Improving | revenue growth falls below 20% YoY in any trailing 12-month period | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.74 → $1.09 · observed estimates
$0.02B → $0.02B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.74 | $21,406,800 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.81 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.09 | $23,336,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earnings4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.