MOTORSPORT GAMES INC (MSGM)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.58+13.93%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MSGM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -63.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 43.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 106.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MSGM — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 22, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “ Board ”) of Motorsport Games Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”), approved and adopted a preferred stock rights agreement and authorized and declared a dividend distribution of one right (each, a “ Right ”) for each outstanding share of the Class A Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per share (the “ Common Stock ”), of the Company to stockholders of record as of the close of business on August…
Why it matters: Updates will show how the platform is growing. They will also show how it helps diversify revenue. This is important for the company's long-term plans.
Supportive ifManagement talks about strong user growth. They also share news on new features for RaceControl.
Worry ifThere are no updates or low user engagement numbers.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if revenue growth continues and if operating income improves. This is key for assessing the company's financial health.
Supportive ifRevenue for Q2 2026 exceeds $4.0 million, continuing the growth trend.
Worry ifRevenue drops below $4.0 million. This shows a possible slowdown.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows the company is doing well. It means people like its products.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue grows at least 30% year over year compared to Q3 2025.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue growth falls below 20% year over year.
Why it matters: If the Communication Services sector grows, it may help MSGM do better.
Watch forSector revenue growth is now positive. It was negative for several quarters.
Also watch forSector revenue growth stays negative, showing ongoing problems in the sector.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$247 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $822 loss on $10,000 · 8.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,816 loss on $10,000 · 48.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A recovery in net income is crucial for overall financial health. It shows the company is managing costs well.
Supportive ifQ2 net income rises above $0.32 million.
Worry ifQ2 net income falls below $0.32 million.
Why it matters: The share repurchase shows management's confidence in the company's value. Its effects on stock price and ownership structure are important to monitor.
Watch forThe stock price goes up a lot after the share buyback.
Also watch forStock price declines or remains stagnant despite the repurchase.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means the company is controlling costs well. This may help investors feel better.
Supportive ifOperating income is over $1.06 million in Q2.
Worry ifOperating income drops below $1.06 million in Q2. This shows cost management is getting worse.
Why it matters: Stable or better margins show good growth. This means strong management.
Supportive ifGross profit margin stays above 84% for the next two quarters.
Worry ifGross profit margin drops below 84% for the next two quarters.
Why it matters: The rights plan aims to protect shareholder value and could impact stock price stability.
Watch forA positive market reaction or higher share price may follow updates on the rights plan.
Also watch forNegative market reaction or share price decline despite updates on the rights plan.
Why it matters: The rights plan aims to protect shareholder value and could influence stock price stability. Its effectiveness is crucial for investor confidence.
Watch forNo one or group has bought more than 12.5% of shares.
Also watch forSomeone or a group buys over 12.5% of shares. This starts the rights plan.
Why it matters: Strong growth in subscriptions shows demand for the platform. It supports overall revenue growth.
Supportive ifRaceControl subscription revenue grows above $2 million for the next six months.
Worry ifRaceControl's subscription revenue growth is less than 200% compared to last year.
Why it matters: A drop in gross margin could signal inefficiencies or rising costs. It would impact profitability.
Worry ifGross profit margin reported below 80% in the next earnings report.
Less concerning ifGross profit margin remains above 84% in the next earnings report.
Why it matters: New products can drive revenue and market interest. Delays or lack of updates may signal issues.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new product launch within the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new product announcements or updates by the next earnings call.
Why it matters: The rights plan aims to protect shareholder value. Its effectiveness can influence stock price stability.
Watch forThe stock price stays steady or goes up after the rights plan starts.
Also watch forStock price declines significantly despite the rights plan in effect.