NETCAPITAL INC (NCPL)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.30-7.80%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NCPL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -65.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 20 industry peers
NCPL — legal / regulatory event
Dated 2026-10-14
of the August 8-K, the Company’s previously issued audited financial statements for the fiscal years ended April 30, 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025, and the related unaudited interim financial statements identified in the August 8-K, should no longer be relied upon. Adeptus’s engagement to re-audit those fiscal years is intended to support the Company’s evaluation and completion of any required restatement and the filing of its delinquent periodic reports. The Company has not completed its evaluat…
Why it matters: NCPL has named M&A as a goal and taken financing steps, but the inputs show no clear business gains yet.
Supportive ifNCPL names a completed deal and later reports added revenue or customers tied to that deal.
Worry ifNCPL reports no completed deal or no added revenue or customers tied to M&A in its next filed reports.
Why it matters: NCPL missed two required reports. Nasdaq's response will show whether the company has more time to fix this.
Worry ifNasdaq rejects the plan, or NCPL reports that Nasdaq denied an exception to file the reports.
Less concerning ifNasdaq accepts the plan and grants up to 180 days to file the reports.
Why it matters: NCPL regained the minimum bid-price rule after 10 days at or above $1.00. A new breach could put listing status at risk again.
Worry ifNasdaq reports a new bid-price notice after NCPL's closing bid stays below $1.00 for 30 straight business days.
Less concerning ifNCPL keeps its closing bid at or above $1.00 and receives no new Nasdaq bid-price notice.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$669 on $10,000 · ±6.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,898 loss on $10,000 · 19.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,860 loss on $10,000 · 88.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.