NATIONAL HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES INC (NHP)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$15.80+2.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NHP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 26.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NHP — capital allocation — Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders
Dated 2026-10-22
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. On October 18, 2026, each of the 44,275,000 then-issued and outstanding shares of Class A common stock, $0.01 par value per share (the “Class A common stock”), of National Healthcare Properties, Inc. (Nasdaq: NHP), a Maryland corporation (the “Company”), automatically converted into issued and outstanding shares of the Company’s common stock, $0.01 par value per share (the “common stock”), on a one-for-one basis (the “Conversion”). The Conv…
Why it matters: Q2 growth reached 20.1%, and NHP raised its 2026 target to 15%–18%. A strong Q3 result would back that higher target.
Supportive ifQ3 SHOP same-store cash NOI growth is at least 15% year over year, with 2026 guidance kept at 15%–18% or raised.
Worry ifQ3 SHOP same-store cash NOI growth is below 15%, or NHP cuts its 2026 target below 15%.
Why it matters: NHP cut net leverage from 9.2x to 4.9x in a year. Keeping it near that level would support its balance-sheet goal.
Supportive ifNHP reports net leverage at or below 4.9x for Q3, with no new debt increase that reverses the recent decline.
Worry ifNHP reports net leverage above 4.9x for Q3, or discloses a rise in debt that pushes leverage higher.
Why it matters: OMF same-store cash NOI fell 0.4% in Q2, while occupancy rose to 94.3%. Positive growth would show the segment has stopped shrinking.
Supportive ifQ3 OMF same-store cash NOI growth is above 0% year over year, and occupancy remains at or above 94.3%.
Worry ifQ3 OMF same-store cash NOI falls at least 0.4% year over year, or occupancy drops below 94.3%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$122 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $288 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,411 loss on $10,000 · 14.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.