NiSource (NI)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated GasSnapshot 2026-11-04
$45.29+1.50%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated GasSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -31.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NI — capital allocation
Dated 2026-10-16
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant On October 15, 2026, NiSource Generation Company LLC (“GenCo”), a subsidiary of NiSource Inc. (the “Company”), entered into a Battery Storage System Tolling Agreement (the “Tolling Agreement”) with Atlas Storage 1 LLC, an indirect subsidiary of AGP Capital Holdings Pte. Ltd. (“AGP Group”), pursuant to which AGP Group will develop, construct, own, and operate a 600 MWAC / 2,400 MWh…
Why it matters: This is the first full-year test of NiSource's new 2027 earnings range and its longer growth plan.
Watch forReported 2027 adjusted EPS is at least $2.22 and no more than $2.30.
Also watch forReported 2027 adjusted EPS is below $2.22 or above $2.30.
Why it matters: NiSource narrowed its 2026 range to the upper half. The final result tests whether it met that raised bar.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $2.045, the midpoint of the upper half of the $2.02-$2.07 range.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is below $2.045, or below the $2.02 guidance floor.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$65 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,054 loss on $10,000 · 20.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.