Navitas Semiconductor Corp. (NVTS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.80+6.31%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NVTS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 239.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 68.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 170.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NVTS — litigation filed
Dated 2026-08-25
of this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. No Offer or Solicitation This Current Repor…
Why it matters: This growth would confirm the strategic pivot to high-power markets is successful.
Supportive ifAI infrastructure revenue is over 33% of total sales by year-end.
Worry ifAI infrastructure revenue is under 25% of total sales. This shows slower adoption.
Why it matters: The result could change Navitas's market position. It may also affect investor feelings.
Watch forNavitas wins a favorable ruling or settlement in the case.
Also watch forNavitas loses the case or faces big penalties.
Why it matters: Leadership changes can impact strategy and investor confidence. It is key to monitor.
Watch forAnnouncement of a new board member or executive to fill Dr. Singh's role.
Also watch forThere are no new appointments or more leadership issues.
Why it matters: This shows good cost management. It helps the company reach its profit goals.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin reported at 39.7% or higher.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP gross margin is below 39.5%. This shows there are cost pressures.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$532 on $10,000 · ±5.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,033 loss on $10,000 · 10.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,936 loss on $10,000 · 69.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If this revenue is reached, it shows strong demand for high-power markets and AI.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is $13.5 million or more. This shows 28% growth from last quarter.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $13 million. This means demand is weaker than expected.
Why it matters: This could help Navitas improve its skills. It may also expand its reach in high-power semiconductors.
Supportive ifThere is news about key milestones or benefits from the merger.
Worry ifDelays or complications in the merger process that hinder growth plans.