Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$46.38-1.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OHI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 27.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -8.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers
OHI — officer change
Dated 2026-05-21
CEO — Mr. Pickett: Mr. Pickett is departing from his role as CEO with a transition agreement and consulting arrangement.
Why it matters: Keeping or changing the dividend affects how investors feel and cash flow.
Worry ifManagement says the dividend will stay at $0.67 per share.
Less concerning ifDividend is cut or lowered below $0.67 per share.
Why it matters: If guidance goes up, it shows good performance and smart investments.
Supportive ifManagement raises Q3 2026 Adjusted FFO guidance to over $3.24 per share.
Worry ifManagement keeps Q3 2026 Adjusted FFO guidance at or below $3.24 per share.
Why it matters: New investments show growth potential. They also show management's commitment to smart capital use.
Supportive ifNew investments over $100 million will be announced next quarter.
Worry ifNo new investments are announced or they are below $50 million.
Why it matters: More investment means Omega is growing and using capital well.
Supportive ifIn Q3 2026, investments are over $150 million. This shows strong capital use.
Worry ifIn Q3 2026, investments are under $100 million. This shows weak capital use.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$77 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,189 loss on $10,000 · 11.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Changes in AFFO guidance show how well the company is doing. This affects how investors feel.
Supportive ifManagement raises AFFO guidance midpoint above $3.24 for the full year.
Worry ifManagement lowers AFFO guidance midpoint below $3.24 for the full year.
Why it matters: Recovering net income is important after a big loss in Q4 2025. It shows stability.
Supportive ifNet income for Q2 2026 shows a positive trend, exceeding $150 million.
Worry ifNet income stays below $100 million. This shows there are still challenges.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can change the company's path. This can affect how investors feel.
Worry ifNew CEO and CFO are announced with strong industry backgrounds.
Less concerning ifNo new leaders are announced. This creates uncertainty.
Why it matters: Higher revenue shows growth and helps management focus on making more money.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported above $322.9M, indicating strong growth.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $322.9M, suggesting growth is stalling.
Why it matters: The new CEO's approach could shape future growth and investment strategies.
Watch forMatthew Gourmand outlines a clear growth strategy in his first earnings call as CEO.
Also watch forGourmand fails to provide a clear strategy or direction in his first earnings call.
Why it matters: This sale is important for cash flow and managing the portfolio.
Supportive ifThe sale of the last six West Virginia facilities closes for $480 million.
Worry ifThe sale does not close as expected, or delays are announced.
Why it matters: Genesis is in bankruptcy. This may hurt Omega's rental income and finances.
Worry ifGenesis continues to make all required rent payments as per the bankruptcy plan.
Less concerning ifGenesis does not pay rent, affecting Omega's income.
Why it matters: This sale is expected to generate $480 million. It will impact liquidity and future investments.
Supportive ifThe company sold the last 6 West Virginia facilities for $480 million.
Worry ifThe sale does not close as expected, delaying cash inflow.