Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$47.99-2.40%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OHI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 45.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -8.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 54.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OHI — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-01
CEO — C. Taylor Pickett: The CEO is retiring with a pre-announced internal successor (the President), indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Genesis has kept up required rent and interest payments, but it remains in bankruptcy. Missed payments would put cash income at risk.
Worry ifOmega reports a missed Genesis rent or interest payment. It also reports new loan terms during bankruptcy.
Less concerning ifGenesis makes all required rent and interest payments through the next reported quarter. Loan terms do not change.
Why it matters: Omega moved 32 Florida facilities to PACS and set rent increases of $26.1 million in year one. The transfer also led to a one-time expense of about $90 million.
Watch forOmega reports that PACS pays the added rent on time, and the $26.1 million year-one increase is reflected in rent income.
Also watch forOmega reports missed rent, a rent change, or trouble collecting the added rent from PACS.
Why it matters: Q2 AFFO was $0.83 per share. A higher Q3 result would support the raised full-year AFFO view.
Supportive ifIn the November 3 results, Q3 AFFO per share is above $0.83 and full-year AFFO guidance stays at or above $3.24.
Worry ifQ3 AFFO per share is below $0.83, or full-year guidance falls below $3.24.
Why it matters: Management said its pipeline could support much more investment through year-end and early 2027. The amount and returns matter to future cash flow.
Supportive ifBy early 2027, reported new investments top the $219 million completed in Q2 and July. Stated yields remain in the low double digits.
Worry ifThrough early 2027, investment activity stays at or below $219 million. Or, new deals are reported without low double-digit yields.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$71 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $190 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,541 loss on $10,000 · 15.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.