Oklo, Inc. (OKLO)
NYSEUtilitiesIndependent Power ProducersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$41.27+3.59%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesIndependent Power ProducersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OKLO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -45.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OKLO — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-07-28
The company appointed several individuals to new executive roles, indicating internal promotions and organizational changes.
Why it matters: If the utility sector's revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Oklo. It would signal a positive shift in the market.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth rises above 6% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 6% year over year.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is critical for Oklo to support its growth plans and manage losses.
Supportive ifCash from operations improves from -$47.59M in 2026-Q2 to less negative or positive in Q3.
Worry ifCash from operations worsens or stays negative in Q3.
Why it matters: New directors bring experience that could help Oklo achieve its growth goals faster. Their expertise is crucial for executing complex projects.
Supportive ifLook for good news or updates on advanced nuclear projects in six months.
Worry ifNo major updates or delays in project timelines in the same time frame.
Why it matters: News on debt can change Oklo's financial options and growth plans.
Watch forA new debt issuance announcement that supports growth plans.
Also watch forNo new debt issuance or cancellation of existing plans.
Why it matters: Ongoing high net income losses show that Oklo faces financial problems.
Worry ifQ2 net losses worse than $33.1 million.
Less concerning ifQ2 net losses improve to better than $33.1 million.
Why it matters: Improving operating income is crucial for Oklo's financial health. It shows if the company is managing costs better.
Supportive ifQ2 operating income is less negative than -$12 million.
Worry ifQ2 operating income is still more negative than -$12 million.
Why it matters: Better financials are key for Oklo's long-term success. Bigger losses may show bigger problems.
Worry ifOperating losses go down or cash flow gets better compared to past quarters.
Less concerning ifOperating losses get worse or cash flow stays negative in the next quarters.
Why it matters: News about debt can change how Oklo handles its money. It affects their choices.
Watch forThey announced successful capital raised from the new debt issuance.
Also watch forThey failed to raise capital or ended the debt issuance agreement.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is critical for Oklo's financial health and future investments. Investors need to see progress.
Worry ifManagement might show smaller losses or positive cash flow in the next report.
Less concerning ifOperating losses may increase or cash flow may stay negative in the next report.
Why it matters: Better cash from operations is important for Oklo to fix its finances.
Supportive ifCash used in operating activities is less than -$17.9 million in Q2.
Worry ifCash used in operating activities stays worse than -$17.9 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Managing net income losses is vital for Oklo's future and investor trust.
Supportive ifNet income losses are going down a lot. This shows better financial management.
Worry ifNet income losses are still high or increasing. This shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: New board members with strong backgrounds may help Oklo achieve its growth goals faster.
Supportive ifOklo reaches a big project milestone within 6 months of the new board's start.
Worry ifNo big project milestones are reached within 6 months of the new board's start.
Why it matters: It is important for Oklo to stop losing money. This will help their finances and growth.
Worry ifOperating losses improve from -$73.19M in 2026-Q2 to less negative or positive.
Less concerning ifOperating losses worsen beyond -$73.19M in Q3.
Why it matters: New directors may enhance strategic execution. Their impact will be crucial for growth.
Watch forGood feedback or results from board meetings show effective strategy.
Also watch forBad reports or no progress on strategies from the board.
Why it matters: Successful deployment of powerhouses is key to Oklo's growth strategy. It shows if they can meet their goals.
Supportive ifThe first advanced nuclear power plant construction is starting on time.
Worry ifDelays or problems in building the advanced nuclear power plants.
Why it matters: Success in building powerhouses is key to Oklo's growth plans. It shows they can meet their goals.
Supportive ifOklo shares big news about building its first advanced nuclear power plant.
Worry ifNo news on construction progress or delays in the project.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is key for Oklo's finances. It shows better handling of losses.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive or improves a lot from past quarters.
Worry ifThere is ongoing negative cash flow from operations. Financial numbers are getting worse.
Why it matters: New board members bring experience that could help Oklo execute its plans better. This could improve investor confidence.
Supportive ifGood news on project work or decisions from the new board members.
Worry ifNo changes in project timelines or ongoing problems.
Why it matters: This change could affect technical plans and execution. It matters for future projects.
Watch forGood feedback on the change and the former CTO's role in key projects.
Also watch forThere are negative effects on project timelines. Technical issues came up after the change.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$412 on $10,000 · ±4.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $947 loss on $10,000 · 9.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,884 loss on $10,000 · 78.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.