Option Care Health (OPCH)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$31.65-0.38%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OPCH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OPCH — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-06
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Merger Agreement On October 5, 2026, Option Care Health, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “ Merger Agreement ”) with Onyx Bidco LLC, a Delaware limited liability company (“ Parent ”), and Onyx Merger Sub, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a wholly owned subsidiary of Parent (“ Merger Sub ”), pursuant to which the Company is to be acquired by an investor group comprised of affiliates of…
Why it matters: The company will report Q3 results on November 4, but it withdrew its full-year outlook after the deal announcement. Q2 had pointed to sequential growth.
Watch forQ3 revenue and adjusted EBITDA both rise from Q2’s $1.442 billion and $117.5 million.
Also watch forQ3 revenue or adjusted EBITDA falls below Q2, despite the prior outlook for sequential growth in both.
Why it matters: Stockholder approval is a key step toward the $32.05-per-share acquisition. A failed vote would put the announced deal terms in doubt.
Watch forOPCH stockholders approve the merger agreement in a filed vote result.
Also watch forStockholders reject the merger agreement, or OPCH reports that the vote did not pass.
Why it matters: Management named faster revenue growth as a priority. Q2 revenue rose 1.9% year over year, while full-year revenue guidance was cut from the earlier range.
Supportive ifRevenue growth is above 1.9% year over year in one reported quarter. The next reported quarter is also above 1.9%.
Worry ifRevenue growth is 1.9% or lower year over year for two straight reported quarters.
Why it matters: Cash from operations is a stated management priority. Q2 cash flow improved, but the yearly target was lowered to at least $320 million.
Supportive ifReported 2026 cash from operations is at least $320 million.
Worry ifReported cash from operations for 2026 is below $320 million.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$56 on $10,000 · ±0.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $281 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,665 loss on $10,000 · 46.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.