PACS Group, Inc. (PACS)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$42.50-1.32%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PACS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PACS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-02-26
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 26, 2026, PACS Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial results for its fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1 hereto) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,…
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it shows the sector is improving. This could boost PACS's prospects.
Supportive ifHealth Care revenue growth increases back toward 10% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows that operations are more efficient. This can help future growth and stability.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $300M.
Worry ifCash from operations falls below $236M.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow helps growth and stability. It is key for future investments.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow remains above $300 million for the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating cash flow drops below $200 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Confirming revenue growth shows the company is on track with its financial goals. It reflects overall business health.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds $1.5 billion, confirming the guidance of $5.65 billion to $5.75 billion.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth falls below $1.4 billion.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $547 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,189 loss on $10,000 · 31.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The new CFO may bring fresh strategies that affect financial results. This could change investor sentiment.
Watch forFinancial performance improves a lot with the new CFO.
Also watch forFinancial performance drops or stays the same after the CFO change.
Why it matters: Share buybacks can show management's confidence and affect stock value.
Supportive ifShare buybacks may be announced in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo share buybacks are planned for the next quarter.