Procter & Gamble (PG)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$146.44-0.33%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain EPS growth between 1% and 6% in fiscal 2026: FY26 EPS +5.0% vs 1-6% target.
Procter & Gamble grows sales between 1% and 5% yearly. It aims for EPS growth of 1% to 6% in fiscal 2026. The company maintains strong free cash flow near 0.85% to 0.9%. New product launches support steady demand.
Inflation pressures hurt consumer demand and input costs. EPS growth lags revenue growth, showing margin pressure. Guidance cuts signal risks to meeting growth targets.
The price is about 17% above our fair value near $131. Analysts expect about 3% revenue growth, which is below P&G's guidance range. Our fair value is 20% below the Street median, reflecting caution on margin and EPS risks.
Breaks if: EPS growth falls below 1% in FY26
Breaks if: FCF yield falls below 0.85% in FY26
Significant inflation-driven demand decline or cost pressure hurting growth
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on steady growth. The current thesis state is intact, supported by recent earnings performance and management's commitment to organic sales growth.
The market seems to expect a stretched valuation, reflecting a durable premium compared to peers. There is a 21% expectations gap, indicating that investors are pricing in moderate growth but are cautious about execution quality.
Management aims for organic sales growth of 1-3% and diluted net earnings per share growth of 1-5% in fiscal 2027. While recent financial performance has been neutral, the company has a low risk of missing its targets, although it has experienced misses in the past.
The long-term thesis hinges on management's ability to deliver on growth targets and external factors like inflation trends and sector performance. If inflation rises or if leading competitors continue to perform well, it could positively impact PG's performance.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. Procter & Gamble completed a $501 million expansion in Lima, Ohio. This expansion supports production of its branded in-wash scent booster beads. The latest earnings beat also reinforces the positive outlook.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 1% in FY26
P&G aims to sustain its guidance for fiscal 2026 all-in sales growth between one to five percent.
Overall, the outlook remains stable for the next 1-3 years, but key external factors will play a significant role in shaping results. Not investment advice.