Procter & Gamble (PG)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$167.32+3.25%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 38.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PG — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-13
REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE On October 13, 2026, The Procter & Gamble Company (the "Company") issued a news release announcing that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $1.0885 per share on the Common Stock and on the Series A and Series B ESOP Convertible Class A Preferred Stock of the Company, payable on or after November 16, 2026 to Common Stock shareholders of record at the close of business on October 23, 2026, and to Series A and Series B ESOP Convertible Class A Preferr…
Why it matters: Q1 core operating margin fell 80 basis points, despite productivity savings. A smaller drop would show that savings are keeping pace with costs and reinvestment.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports core operating margin flat or higher year over year.
Worry ifA later quarter reports core operating margin down more than 80 basis points year over year.
Why it matters: Q1 core EPS rose 1%, while the full-year range is flat to 3% growth. A miss would add pressure to a goal that has made limited progress.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 core EPS growth is below 0% versus fiscal 2026's $6.89.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2027 core EPS growth is at least 1%, within the stated range.
Why it matters: P&G reported 4% organic sales growth in Q1. Its full-year range is 1% to 3%, so more growth would show that demand is holding up.
Supportive ifA later fiscal 2027 report shows organic sales growth above 3% year over year.
Worry ifA later fiscal 2027 report shows organic sales growth below 1% year over year.
Why it matters: P&G reported 93% in Q1 and set an 85% to 90% full-year range. A result below that range would weaken its cash return plan.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 free cash flow productivity is below 85%.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2027 free cash flow productivity is 85% or higher.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$82 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $209 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,615 loss on $10,000 · 16.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q1 volume rose 2.4%, but Health Care volume fell 2.9% and Grooming volume fell 0.4%. Broad growth would show strength across more parts of P&G.
Supportive ifQ2 total organic volume grows at least 2%, with both Health Care and Grooming volume at or above zero.
Worry ifQ2 total organic volume is below zero, or both Health Care and Grooming volume decline.