Permian Resources (PR)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$23.36-1.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 37 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PR — credit agreement
Dated 2026-05-06
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 30, 2026, Permian Resources Operating, LLC (“OpCo”), a consolidated subsidiary of Permian Resources Corporation (“Permian Resources” and, together with OpCo, the “Company”) (NYSE: PR), entered into a new Credit Agreement (the “New Credit Agreement”) among OpCo, JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent (the “Administrative Agent”), and the lenders party thereto (together with the Administrative Agent, the “Lenders”), providing for…
Why it matters: Staying in this range shows good money management. It helps free cash flow.
Supportive ifCash spending is under $2 billion.
Worry ifCash spending is over $2 billion.
Why it matters: This shows the company’s growth plan and its ability to grow its assets.
Supportive ifTotal bolt-on deals are over $1 billion.
Worry ifTotal bolt-on deals are under $1 billion.
Why it matters: If the company raises the dividend, it shows they care about their shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.16 for each share.
Worry ifThe company announced a quarterly dividend less than $0.16 for each share.
Why it matters: Successful acquisitions would support the growth plan. They would also boost production.
Supportive ifTotal acquisitions were over $1 billion this year.
Worry ifTotal acquisitions were below $1 billion this year.
Why it matters: A drop in natural gas volumes may show problems in production or pricing. This affects revenue.
Worry ifNatural gas volumes are below 703.0 MMcf/d.
Less concerning ifNatural gas volumes are above 703.0 MMcf/d.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows the company is managing costs well while pursuing growth. It reflects financial discipline.
Supportive ifTotal cash capital spending for Q3 is between $1.9 billion and $2.0 billion.
Worry ifTotal cash capital spending is over $2.0 billion.
Why it matters: The Q2 earnings report will show how well the company is doing financially. It will help investors understand if the company is improving or facing challenges.
Watch forQ2 earnings show revenue growth over 6% year over year.
Also watch forQ2 earnings show revenue decline or flat growth year over year.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect company direction and performance. New leaders may bring fresh ideas or strategies.
Watch forThe company shows better performance or new plans under the new leader.
Also watch forThe company has problems or reports bad results after the leadership changes.
Why it matters: Staying in this range means the company is using its money wisely.
Watch forCash capex reported within the range of $1.75B to $1.95B.
Also watch forCash capex reported outside the range of $1.75B to $1.95B.
Why it matters: Successful acquisitions show the company is growing its resources. This means it can grow more.
Supportive ifAt least 3 major bolt-on acquisitions will be completed next quarter.
Worry ifNo big bolt-on acquisitions will happen next quarter.
Why it matters: Sustaining the dividend signals strong cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns. It reflects financial health.
Supportive ifThe quarterly base dividend remains at $0.16 per share for the next declaration.
Worry ifThe quarterly base dividend is cut below $0.16 per share.
Why it matters: The new credit agreement may affect how the company spends its money. Changes can signal a shift in strategy or financial health.
Watch forThe company shares a new investment plan or plans to spend more on projects.
Also watch forThe company cuts spending or delays projects after the new credit deal.
Why it matters: A steady or higher dividend shows strong cash flow. It shows commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifDividend announced remains at $0.16 per share or increases.
Worry ifDividend announced drops to $0.16 per share.
Why it matters: Stable prices would help revenue and cash flow from gas operations.
Supportive ifNatural gas prices were above Waha pricing for two months.
Worry ifNatural gas prices were below Waha pricing for two months.
Why it matters: If the company exceeds this target, it shows growth and efficiency.
Supportive ifQ3 oil production reported above 200 MBbls/d.
Worry ifQ3 oil production reported below 200 MBbls/d.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows strong cash flow and support for shareholders.
Supportive ifQuarterly dividend set at $0.16 per share.
Worry ifDividend cut below $0.16 per share.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$161 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $343 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,038 loss on $10,000 · 20.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.