Permian Resources (PR)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$21.34-4.86%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -15.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 20.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PR — credit agreement
Dated 2026-05-06
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 30, 2026, Permian Resources Operating, LLC (“OpCo”), a consolidated subsidiary of Permian Resources Corporation (“Permian Resources” and, together with OpCo, the “Company”) (NYSE: PR), entered into a new Credit Agreement (the “New Credit Agreement”) among OpCo, JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent (the “Administrative Agent”), and the lenders party thereto (together with the Administrative Agent, the “Lenders”), providing for…
Why it matters: Management targets more than 200 MBbls/d of oil in the second half. Q3 results will test that plan.
Supportive ifQ3 oil production is above 200 MBbls/d and the full-year target stays near 199 MBbls/d.
Worry ifQ3 oil production is at or below 200 MBbls/d, or management cuts its 2026 oil target.
Why it matters: The 2026 budget rose as working interest and acquisition costs grew. Spending above its new range could weaken cash returns.
Worry ifFull-year cash capital spending is above $2.0 billion.
Less concerning ifFull-year cash capital spending is $2.0 billion or less, within the stated range.
Why it matters: The new acreage adds drilling locations, but its value depends on returns from the added assets. Watch how they perform in results.
Watch forPR reports production or free cash flow from acquired assets. Its 2026 spending range stays at or below $2.0 billion.
Also watch forPR raises spending above $2.0 billion. Or, PR reports lower output tied to joining the acquired assets.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$159 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $375 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,038 loss on $10,000 · 20.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.