Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-01-03 · fmp
CarParts.com Inc (PRTS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.69-7.79%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for PRTS yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cash from operations improves to positive levels | The company secured a $25M credit line to support cash flow. | Improving | cash from operations falls below $0M next quarter | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-01-03 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a speculative turnaround, meaning the long-term thesis depends on a struggling business improving its results. The thesis is still at a watch stage: management has made some progress, but recent performance is weak and earnings have missed in recent quarters.
The valuation model labels PRTS cheap versus peers, but confidence in that comparison is low. The expectations gap is negative, suggesting current expectations may still be difficult to meet, while the evidence does not indicate high valuation fragility.
Near term, earnings-miss risk is elevated, and another guidance cut would add pressure to the operating outlook. In the latest quarter, revenue declined from the prior quarter and operating income remained negative, despite lower expenses, positive Adjusted EBITDA, and progress toward management's profitability goal.
Over the next few quarters, the key test is whether cost discipline and A-Premium's growing revenue run rate can support sustained profitability. Sector bellwethers' earnings and guidance may also shape the consumer discretionary backdrop, while another PRTS guidance cut would weaken the thesis.
For the 1-to-3-year view, PRTS offers a turnaround thesis with some execution progress, but weak results, repeated earnings misses, and incomplete progress toward profitability leave substantial uncertainty. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Management is focused on moving toward profitability. |
| Under Pressure |
| EPS worsens or remains deeply negative next year |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue stabilizes or grows after recent declines | A supporting condition in CarParts.com Inc's published investment case. The stated target is revenue growth >= -1% YoY. | Broken | revenue declines more than 1% next year | Revenue: $129.331M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: revenue growth >= -1% YoY. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Oct 30, 2026129,331,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-2.80 → $-2.17 · observed estimates
$0.54B → $0.54B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-2.80 | $536,084,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-2.44 | $534,230,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-2.17 | $540,630,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-2.17 | $540,630,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-2.17 | $540,630,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-2.17 | $540,630,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-2.17 | $540,630,000 | 1 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.