CarParts.com Inc (PRTS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.30+11.24%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PRTS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -68.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 69.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 44 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PRTS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 6, 2026, CarParts.com, Inc. (the “ Company ” ) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended July 4, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in
Why it matters: Less cash from operations could mean worse financial health and lower efficiency.
Worry ifCash from operations drops below $3.4 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifCash from operations is above $3.4 million. This shows steady cash flow.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow from operations helps with financial stability. It also supports growth plans.
Supportive ifCash from operations reported above $7 million in Q2.
Worry ifCash from operations drops back to negative.
Why it matters: Management wants to make a profit. This shows they may earn more in the future.
Supportive ifManagement has a clear plan. It includes steps to reach profitability.
Worry ifThere are no updates or problems with the profitability plan.
Why it matters: Positive adjusted EBITDA means the company is making more money. It shows good management.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA stays positive. It will be over $1.8 million next quarter.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA turns negative again. It falls below $0.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$251 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $739 loss on $10,000 · 7.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,442 loss on $10,000 · 64.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth is important for the company to recover in a tough market. It shows better demand.
Supportive ifRevenue growth is now positive after being negative for a few quarters.
Worry ifRevenue continues to decline year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows stronger financial health. It means improved operations.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $7.3 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash from operations falls below $3.4 million.
Why it matters: More last mile deliveries mean better logistics and service. This can boost sales and satisfaction.
Supportive ifLast mile delivery volume was over 4,000 packages in Q3. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifLast mile delivery volume dropped below 3,000 packages in Q3. This is a concern.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would show ongoing problems with customer demand and making money.
Worry ifQ3 net sales decline worse than -10% compared to Q3 2025.
Less concerning ifQ3 net sales decline less than -10% or show growth year over year.
Why it matters: Growth in A-Premium revenue shows success in partnerships and market growth.
Supportive ifA-Premium partnership revenue run rate exceeds $50 million in Q3.
Worry ifA-Premium partnership revenue run rate remains below $50 million in Q3.