QuidelOrtho (QDEL)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - SpecialtiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$12.84-10.52%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - SpecialtiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · QDEL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
QDEL — CTO transition
Dated 2026-11-03
Chief Operations Officer — Phil McLellan: The filing discloses the termination of the Chief Operations Officer role and the departure of Phil McLellan as part of a restructuring plan, which constitutes a genuine executive departure, though the context of a planned restructuring and severance suggests an orderly rather than negative shock.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue was $631 million. A lower Q3 result would show that recent growth has faded.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue is below $631 million, the Q2 reported level.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 revenue is $631 million or higher.
Why it matters: Management linked slower China sales to proposed IVD pricing rules. Recovery would ease a major drag on Labs revenue.
Watch forChina revenue grows year over year in a reported quarter.
Also watch forChina revenue falls year over year again, after the reported 18.7% Q2 decline.
Why it matters: Point of Care grew 16% in Q2 after a 34% drop in Q1. Another strong result would show that growth held up.
Supportive ifPoint of Care revenue grows more than 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifPoint of Care revenue is flat or falls year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: QuidelOrtho withdrew its 2026 free cash flow range while working through cash needs and mitigation steps. A new range would give a clear test of progress.
Watch forThe company gives a 2026 free cash flow range and reports positive free cash flow for the full year.
Also watch forThe company keeps free cash flow guidance withdrawn or reports negative full-year free cash flow.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$215 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $816 loss on $10,000 · 8.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,185 loss on $10,000 · 71.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.