Qualys (QLYS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$210.89+0.15%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · QLYS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 24.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers
QLYS — officer change
Dated 2026-06-11
The filing is about the approval of an equity incentive plan, not a management change.
Why it matters: Qualys links these tools to its growth plans, but it has not shared product sales or user counts. Named customer wins would show demand.
Supportive ifQualys reports new named customers or more use of Enterprise TruRisk Management or Agent Val. It gives customer or usage counts.
Worry ifQualys reports no named wins or usage growth for these tools in its next two results updates.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue grew 11%, and Qualys raised its 2026 revenue range twice. A Q3 beat would extend that growth trend.
Supportive ifOn November 9, Q3 revenue is above $187.5 million, the top of the company’s guidance range.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $185.5 million, the bottom of the company’s guidance range.
Why it matters: Qualys raised its full-year revenue range in both Q1 and Q2. A cut would break that pattern and weaken its growth outlook.
Worry ifManagement lowers the 2026 revenue range to below $732.0 million to $738.0 million.
Less concerning ifManagement keeps or raises the 2026 revenue range at or above $732.0 million to $738.0 million.
Why it matters: The sector is still growing, but its pace is easing. A drop below its recent median could add pressure to Qualys’ growth plans.
Worry ifThe next sector update shows IT revenue growth below its recent median.
Less concerning ifThe next sector update shows IT revenue growth at or above its recent median.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$252 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $526 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,046 loss on $10,000 · 50.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.