BRC, Inc. (RILY)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - ConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.83+1.86%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - ConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RILY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -80.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 28.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 108.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 0 industry peers
RILY — credit agreement
Dated 2026-11-05
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Great American Holdings, LLC Transaction On November 3, 2026, BRF Finance Co., LLC (“ Seller ”) and BR Financial Holdings, LLC (“ BR Holdings ” and together with Seller, the “ Seller Parties ”) entered into a Membership Interest Purchase Agreement, dated November 3, 2026 (the “ Purchase Agreement ”), by and among Seller, BR Holdings, OCM SSF III Great American PT, L.P., Opps XII Great American Holdings, LLC, VOF Great American Holdings, L.P., Opps XI…
Why it matters: The deal adds scale to BRC's communications business. A failed vote or delayed close would block that plan.
Supportive ifSangoma shareholders give the required votes for the deal. BRC reports it closes by early 2027.
Worry ifShareholders reject the deal, a required vote fails, or closing moves past early 2027.
Why it matters: The deal uses a $215 million loan and retires current communications debt. BRC has named debt reduction as a priority.
Worry ifAfter closing, BRC reports lower net debt than $285.2 million, its June 2026 level.
Less concerning ifAfter closing, BRC reports net debt above $285.2 million or total debt above $1.28 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$214 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $844 loss on $10,000 · 8.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,479 loss on $10,000 · 64.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.