ROCKET COMPANIES INC (RKT)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - MortgagesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$14.82-1.27%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - MortgagesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RKT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -6.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RKT — earnings in line
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2026, Rocket Companies, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference in its entirety.
Why it matters: Rocket set a Q4 adjusted revenue range of $2.1 billion to $2.3 billion. A result below the low end would miss that range.
Worry ifQ4 adjusted revenue is below $2.1 billion.
Less concerning ifQ4 adjusted revenue is at least $2.1 billion and no more than $2.3 billion.
Why it matters: Redfin brings homebuyers into Rocket's mortgage business. More leads and clicks can show whether the combined home search and loan path is gaining use.
Supportive ifRedfin mortgage leads keep rising year over year, and clicks to start a purchase loan stay at least 50% above the prior year.
Worry ifRedfin mortgage leads fall year over year, or purchase-loan clicks drop below their year-ago level.
Why it matters: The latest signal shows a sharp drop in company momentum after earnings. A rebound would ease concern about the change; another fall would deepen it.
Watch forThe company momentum score rises from -76.5 in the next update.
Also watch forThe company momentum score falls further below -76.5 in the next update.
Why it matters: Rocket reported gains in both purchase and refinance share. More gains would support its plan to grow its mortgage business.
Supportive ifRocket reports purchase share above 6.2% and refinance share above 14.3%.
Worry ifRocket reports purchase share at or below 6.2% and refinance share at or below 14.3%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$246 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $555 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,508 loss on $10,000 · 55.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Rocket set a $400 million expense-synergy target tied to the Mr. Cooper integration. Reaching it would show progress on the cost plan.
Supportive ifRocket reports at least $400 million in expense synergies by the end of 2026.
Worry ifRocket reports less than $400 million in expense synergies by year-end, or says the target has slipped.