RMR Group, Inc. (The) (RMR)
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$16.70+0.54%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RMR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 39.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers
RMR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026, The RMR Group Inc., or the Company, issued a summary press release and a detailed earnings presentation announcing the Company’s financial results for its third fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026. Copies of the Company’s summary press release and detailed earnings presentation are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 hereto, respectively.
Why it matters: RMR named AI as a way to cut costs and raise productivity. Measured savings would show progress.
Supportive ifRMR reports lower costs linked to AI and a higher operating margin than in the same quarter last year.
Worry ifRMR reports no cost savings linked to AI, and its operating margin falls from the same quarter last year.
Why it matters: RMR says higher client share prices can lift its fees. This would show that the managed REIT recovery is reaching RMR.
Supportive ifILPT, DHC, or SVC reports higher share prices, and RMR reports higher base management fees tied to market value.
Worry ifThose client share prices stay flat or fall, and RMR reports lower base management fees tied to market value.
Why it matters: Operating income and net income have fallen and varied in recent quarters. The next report tests whether that trend eases.
Worry ifThe Nov. 12 results show operating income below $7.0M or net income below $1.0M, the 2026-Q2 levels.
Less concerning ifThe Nov. 12 results show both operating income above $7.0M and net income above $1.0M.
Why it matters: More private capital AUM can bring in more management fees and show that fundraising is working.
Supportive ifA later report shows private capital AUM above $11.7B, the level reported for 2026-Q2.
Worry ifA later report shows private capital AUM below $11.7B, with no new fund or venture launch disclosed.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$87 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $232 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,227 loss on $10,000 · 22.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Cash from operations has been uneven. A result above the latest $48.8M level would show stronger cash generation.
Watch forThe Nov. 12 report shows cash from operations above $48.8M.
Also watch forThe Nov. 12 report shows cash from operations below $10.7M, the reported 2026-Q1 level.