Rockwell Automation (ROK)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$443.88-0.56%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ROK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 23.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ROK — President transition
Dated 2026-09-24
Chief Revenue Officer — Scott A. Genereux: The Chief Revenue Officer is retiring with a planned transition period, representing an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: This segment grew organic sales 18% in Q3. A sharp slowdown would test whether recent demand can last.
Watch forSoftware & Control organic sales growth stays above 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Also watch forSoftware & Control organic sales growth falls to 10% or less year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Organic ARR grew 6% in Q3, while software ARR grew at a high single-digit rate. Faster ARR growth would show more strength in recurring sales.
Supportive ifOrganic ARR growth rises above 6% year over year, and software ARR growth remains in the high single digits or higher.
Worry ifOrganic ARR growth falls below 6% year over year, or software ARR growth drops below the high single digits.
Why it matters: Rockwell raised its ranges after strong sales and profit growth. Results below those ranges would weaken that progress.
Watch forIn the November 5 report, fiscal 2026 sales growth is at least 7.5%, and adjusted EPS is at least $13.00. Both meet or beat the August ranges.
Also watch forAt the November 5 report, fiscal 2026 sales growth is below 7.5% or adjusted EPS is below $13.00.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$111 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $311 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,872 loss on $10,000 · 18.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.