Ross Stores (ROST)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$230.69-0.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put ROST beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail: structurally weak cohort (structural / late-cycle), so the cyclical early-warning is suppressed.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, guidance credibility, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 26% growth a year, above the roughly 11% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskRoss Stores needs strong sales growth to justify its current price. The company recently raised its full-year earnings guidance after a strong second quarter. Revenue grew 13% year over year, and the last quarter beat estimates by 38%. It trades at 30× P/E, above the 16× peer median. The market expects more growth than we forecast, indicating full expectations. If Ross cuts guidance after raising it, that would hurt credibility. The thesis remains intact. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. ROST is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering ROST (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ROST in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare ROST with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 14 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put ROST next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand store footprint with new store openings
More stores align with expansion goals.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $230.69
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $230.69.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase comparable store sales
Strong comp growth indicates potential for increased market share.
Advances: Increase comparable store sales
Highlights impressive organic growth supporting comparable store sales.
Advances: Increase comparable store sales
Comparable sales growth exceeds TJX, supporting growth objectives.
Upbeat forecast supports EPS growth expectations.
Raising profit guidance directly supports EPS growth objective.
Raising profit guidance directly supports EPS growth objective.
Advances: Increase comparable store sales
Increased customer traffic supports comparable store sales growth.
