Ross Stores (ROST)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$245.74+6.11%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ROST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 34.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
ROST — director transition
Dated 2026-09-17
Director — Sharon D. Garrett: The filing reports the planned retirement of a director with immediate replacement by two new independent directors, representing an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of senior management.
Why it matters: Ross raised its store-opening plan to 115. Opening the planned locations would show it can keep growing its footprint.
Supportive ifRoss reports 115 new stores opened in fiscal 2026, including about 90 Ross and 25 dd’s stores.
Worry ifRoss opens fewer than 115 new stores in fiscal 2026, or cuts its store-opening plan.
Why it matters: The sector read says revenue is shrinking, though recent signals hint at a change. Retail sales data can test that shift.
Watch forThe November 17 report shows retail sales grew from a year earlier.
Also watch forThe November 17 report shows retail sales fell from a year earlier.
Why it matters: Ross set Q3 comparable sales growth at 6% to 7%. The November 19 report tests whether strong traffic lasts.
Watch forQ3 comparable store sales rise at least 6%, within or above the 6%–7% range.
Also watch forQ3 comparable store sales rise less than 6% or fall year over year.
Why it matters: The company says it remains on track to repurchase $1.275 billion of shares in 2026. The year-end total will test that plan.
Supportive ifRoss reports total fiscal 2026 share repurchases of at least $1.275 billion.
Worry ifRoss reports fiscal 2026 share repurchases below $1.275 billion or says the plan is no longer on track.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$96 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $237 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,303 loss on $10,000 · 13.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.