Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RRGB
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue executing the First Choice strategic plan focusing on refranchising company-owned restaurants, improving operational efficiency, and enhancing guest experience.
Stated as a priority in 3 quarters including 2026-Q1 and 2026-Q2 and mid-2026 announcements. The Company executed refranchising agreements for 116 restaurants expected to generate $96 million in proceeds. Comparable restaurant revenue grew from -1.3% in 2025-Q2 to +1.3% in 2026-Q2, and restaurant level operating profit margin improved slightly to 14.7%. Management is delivering on refranchising and operational improvements consistent with the First Choice plan.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=6943).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“We continue our disciplined execution of our First Choice plan... announced three refranchising agreements... strengthening the balance sheet, reducing debt, and supporting critical investments.”
“Reflecting the growing momentum behind our First Choice strategic plan... successful launch of our new menu... targeted marketing investments... improving restaurant operations.”
“Entered into refranchising agreements for 86 company-owned units... a major step forward toward achieving our goal... partnerships with experienced operators.”
Sustain restaurant level operating profit margin at approximately 13% as a key operational and financial metric.
Stated as a priority in 2 quarters (2026-Q1 and 2026-Q2). Actual restaurant level operating profit margin was 14.8% in 2026-Q1 and 14.7% in 2026-Q2, exceeding the approximately 13.0% fiscal 2026 guidance target. The trajectory shows the Company maintaining margins above its stated target, delivering on this operational priority.
“Reaffirming fiscal 2026 guidance including restaurant level operating profit of approximately 13.0%.”
“Reaffirming fiscal 2026 guidance including restaurant level operating profit of approximately 13.0%.”
Maintain disciplined capital expenditure spending within the range of $25 million to $30 million for fiscal year 2026.
Stated as a priority in 3 quarters including 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1, and 2026-Q2. The Company consistently reaffirmed capital expenditure guidance of $25 million to $30 million for fiscal 2026. No actual capex spend data is provided, so progress is based on consistent guidance reaffirmation, indicating disciplined capital allocation.
“Reaffirming fiscal 2026 guidance including capital expenditures of $25 million to $30 million.”
“Capital expenditures of $25 million to $30 million.”
“Capital expenditures of $25 million to $30 million for fiscal 2026.”
Continue refranchising company-owned restaurants to reduce debt and strengthen the balance sheet, enhancing financial flexibility.
Stated as a priority in 3 disclosures including 2026-Q2 press release and mid-2026 8-K filings. The Company completed refranchising transactions for 108 restaurants generating $89.4 million in proceeds, with total expected proceeds of $96 million from 116 restaurants. This supports management's stated goal of improving financial flexibility and refinancing debt, showing delivery on this capital allocation priority.
“Announced three refranchising agreements representing $96 million in gross proceeds, providing financial flexibility to refinance debt.”
“Completed sale of 108 restaurants for $89.4 million, advancing debt refinancing and financial flexibility.”
“Entered into refranchising agreements for 86 company-owned units for $72.5 million to support First Choice Plan and debt reduction.”
Continue executing the First Choice strategic plan emphasizing menu innovation, marketing, operational excellence, and refranchising to improve financial flexibility and restaurant performance.
Over the trailing year it converted -2.13x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
24 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=1937).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.