Regal Rexnord (RRX)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$173.38-3.64%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RRX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 25.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RRX — President transition
Dated 2026-06-01
Executive Vice President & President, Industrial Powertrain Solutions — Jerry Morton: Jerry Morton is retiring and being succeeded by Mark Klossner.
Why it matters: Orders rose 8.8% in Q2 and can point to later sales. Another strong quarter would back management's growth plan.
Supportive ifQ3 enterprise daily orders grow at least 8% year over year, with AMC orders still growing.
Worry ifQ3 enterprise daily orders fall below 0% growth year over year.
Why it matters: PES sales fell as home HVAC and pool demand weakened. A rebound would ease this drag on company sales.
Supportive ifPES organic sales grow year over year in a reported quarter.
Worry ifPES organic sales fall at least 6.6% year over year again, or decline more.
Why it matters: The range includes $0.57 per share from tariff refunds. Results below it would point to weaker earnings than the current guide.
Watch forFull-year adjusted EPS lands at or above $10.60, the midpoint of the $10.35–$10.85 range.
Also watch forFull-year adjusted EPS lands below $10.35, the low end of the range.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$152 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $512 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,790 loss on $10,000 · 37.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.