Sachem Capital Corp (SACH)
AMEXReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.82+1.48%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SACH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -47.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -48.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SACH — dividend update
Dated 2026-09-04
Other Events. On September 4, 2026, Sachem Capital Corp. (the "Company") issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, announcing that its board of directors authorized and declared a quarterly dividend of (i) $0.01 per common share, par value $0.001 per share, of the Company to be paid on September 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of September 15, 2026; and (ii) $0.484375 per share on the Company’s 7.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, par v…
Why it matters: Three loans drove a $2.6 million credit-loss provision in Q2. Another rise would add to recent losses.
Worry ifThe next report shows a loan-loss provision above $2.6 million, or new charge-offs tied to problem loans.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows a provision below $2.6 million and no new loan charge-offs.
Why it matters: Sachem has paid $0.01 per common share in recent quarters, while reporting losses and falling book value.
Watch forA new board notice declares a common dividend of at least $0.01 per share.
Also watch forA new board notice cuts the common dividend below $0.01 or suspends it.
Why it matters: The Q2 loss included deal costs and loan-loss charges. A smaller loss would show that those pressures eased.
Supportive ifThe next report shows a net loss for common shareholders of less than $6.5 million.
Worry ifThe next report shows a net loss of $6.5 million or more, or a net loss per share at or below -$0.14.
Why it matters: The deal would shift Sachem toward a 98-property industrial real estate company. It remains pending, and deal costs are still rising.
Supportive ifSachem files a closing notice for the IRG deal and names the new company IRG Realty Trust.
Worry ifThe deal is terminated, or no closing occurs by the next reported quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$123 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $338 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,217 loss on $10,000 · 52.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The report can show whether credit costs, income, and deal costs are moving in the right direction.
Watch forThe report shows a smaller common-share loss than $6.5 million and net interest income above $1.7 million.
Also watch forThe report shows a common-share loss of $6.5 million or more, or net interest income below $1.7 million.
Why it matters: Starting work would mark progress on the South Building plan. Delays could slow the project’s sale and income plans.
Supportive ifSachem reports that substantive South Building construction began in Q4 2026.
Worry ifSachem reports that construction has not begun by the end of Q4 2026, or that the start date moved later.