Sachem Capital Corp (SACH)
AMEXReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.90+1.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SACH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -47.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -43.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 34 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SACH — dividend update
Dated 2026-09-04
Other Events. On September 4, 2026, Sachem Capital Corp. (the "Company") issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, announcing that its board of directors authorized and declared a quarterly dividend of (i) $0.01 per common share, par value $0.001 per share, of the Company to be paid on September 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of September 15, 2026; and (ii) $0.484375 per share on the Company’s 7.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, par v…
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it may improve market sentiment for Sachem Capital. It could signal a recovery.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 5%.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down or stays under 5%.
Why it matters: Successful M&A can drive growth and improve financial performance.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of finished M&A deals or new partnerships.
Worry ifNo further updates or failed M&A attempts.
Why it matters: Successful M&A could enhance growth and improve financial performance.
Supportive ifThey announced that the integration with IRG Global is successful. This is a positive outcome from the Contribution Agreement.
Worry ifNo new updates or bad news about the M&A activities.
Why it matters: Steady dividends show that a company is financially healthy. They also show care for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company pays the declared dividend of $0.01 per common share on September 30, 2026.
Worry ifThe company cuts or stops the dividend payment.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$153 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $395 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,217 loss on $10,000 · 52.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Closing this deal is key for Sachem's growth and strategic reset. It combines valuable assets and could enhance revenue.
Supportive ifThe deal is done. Pro forma financial statements are filed.
Worry ifThe deal is delayed or canceled. There are no updates on pro forma financials.
Why it matters: Paying dividends shows the company is stable. It also cares about its shareholders. Missing a payment can raise cash flow worries.
Watch forThe company announces a dividend payment like in past quarters.
Also watch forThe company cuts or stops the dividend payment.
Why it matters: This merger will make a bigger industrial REIT. It could help growth and returns for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe merger closes by the end of 2026, with all necessary approvals secured.
Worry ifThe merger fails to close or faces significant delays beyond 2026.
Why it matters: Lower credit loss provisions mean loans are doing better. This is good for finances. Investors are concerned about ongoing losses.
Supportive ifCredit loss provisions fall below $2.6 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifCredit loss provisions remain at or increase above $2.6 million.
Why it matters: Higher net income shows better operations and credit loss control.
Supportive ifNet income for Q3 shows improvement compared to the $6.5 million loss in Q2.
Worry ifNet income stays negative or gets worse than last quarter.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising dividends shows financial strength. This is important for a REIT and its shareholders.
Supportive ifThe board declares a dividend of at least $0.01 per common share for Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe board suspends or reduces the dividend amount for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Sachem's choice to keep or change dividends shows its financial health. This matters to investors.
Watch forThe company maintains or increases the dividend payout per common share beyond $0.01.
Also watch forThe company cuts the dividend payment or stops it completely.
Why it matters: Better net interest income is important. It can help fix recent losses and improve finances.
Supportive ifNet interest income rises above $1.7 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet interest income continues to decline or stays below $1.7 million.
Why it matters: This transaction is key for Sachem's growth. It could reshape the company's future.
Supportive ifThe deal closes. This creates IRG Realty Trust.
Worry ifThe transaction fails to close or faces significant delays.
Why it matters: Keeping dividends is important for investor trust. Changes can affect stock performance.
Supportive ifThey announced continued or higher dividend payments. The current payment is $0.01 per share.
Worry ifThey announced a cut or stop to the dividend.
Why it matters: Better net income is important after a big drop last quarter.
Supportive ifNet income shows a positive trend or returns to levels above $2.52 million.
Worry ifNet income stays negative or drops more.
Why it matters: Fixing old loans is important. It helps the company’s finances and operations.
Supportive ifManagement says they will share good news soon. This news is about old loan issues.
Worry ifThere are reports of delays or no progress in resolving legacy loans.