EchoStar (SATS)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$86.44-0.46%
Close 2026-08-31 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SATS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -29.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -5.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 24.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SATS — officer change
Dated 2026-07-07
Chief Executive Officer, EchoStar Capital, President and Chief Executive Officer Hughes — Mr. Hamid Akhavan: Mr. Akhavan resigned from all positions with the Company and Hughes due to discussions regarding a change of strategic direction.
Why it matters: The CEO change may impact plans and performance. Clear updates are important.
Watch forGood news on plans or improvements after the CEO change.
Also watch forBad news or ongoing issues related to the CEO change.
Why it matters: This sale is key for EchoStar's finances and market position.
Supportive ifThe AWS-3 spectrum sale to SpaceX is done, showing financial benefits.
Worry ifThe sale is canceled or delayed. This raises worries about EchoStar's finances.
Why it matters: The financial health of EchoStar will depend on how it utilizes proceeds from the spectrum sale. This will impact future growth.
Supportive ifEchoStar shows less debt or more investment in growth after the sale.
Worry ifEchoStar does not show better financial results or still struggles with debt after the sale.
Why it matters: M&A activity can improve EchoStar's market position and financial options. It may open new growth paths.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a new M&A deal that aligns with the company's strategic goals.
Worry ifNo M&A activity or bad news about possible deals.
Why it matters: Successful restructuring can boost finances and investor trust. It is key for future growth.
Supportive ifThe company finished restructuring its debt. This led to a big drop in liabilities.
Worry ifFailure to restructure debt or further delays in the process.
Why it matters: Progress on restructuring can help with financial stability. It can also create growth options.
Supportive ifManagement says the restructuring plan is going well.
Worry ifRestructuring efforts may have big delays or issues.
Why it matters: This sale could help EchoStar manage its money better and support growth.
Supportive ifThe sale will close once it gets all needed approvals.
Worry ifThe sale is delayed or stopped due to regulatory problems.
Why it matters: Approval would show that EchoStar is doing better in business and finances.
Supportive ifThe FCC approves the sale of AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses to SpaceX.
Worry ifApproval is denied or delayed longer than expected.
Why it matters: Completion would give EchoStar more cash and stock. This would help its finances.
Supportive ifEchoStar completes the sale of AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses to SpaceX.
Worry ifThe sale is canceled or changed, affecting cash and stock expected.
Why it matters: A good outcome would show EchoStar is following rules. This would help its strategy.
Supportive ifThe FCC says EchoStar has met its buildout obligations. It also dismisses related petitions.
Worry ifThe FCC finds EchoStar did not meet its buildout obligations. This leads to penalties.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$233 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $450 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,084 loss on $10,000 · 40.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.