EchoStar (SATS)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAsset Management - CryptocurrencySnapshot 2026-11-05
$94.61-0.42%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAsset Management - CryptocurrencySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SATS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -99.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 97.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 0 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SATS — debt issuance
Dated 2026-10-26
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Sales Agreement On October 26, 2026, the Company entered into a Controlled Equity Offering SM Sales Agreement (the “ Sales Agreement ”) with each of Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. (“ Cantor ”), Barclays Capital Inc. (“ Barclays ”), Clear Street LLC (“ Clear Street ”), StoneX Financial Inc. (“ StoneX ”), B. Riley Securities, Inc. (“ B. Riley ”), Maxim Group LLC (“ Maxim ”) and H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC (“ H.C. Wainwright ”) (each, an “ Agent ” and collecti…
Why it matters: FCC action may clear a key question about EchoStar's spectrum rights and buildout duties. Those rights matter to the SpaceX deal.
Supportive ifThe FCC confirms EchoStar's exclusive AWS-4 rights and finds its buildout duties met.
Worry ifThe FCC reopens its review, disputes EchoStar's AWS-4 rights, or finds buildout duties unmet.
Why it matters: The sale could bring EchoStar about $2.6 billion in SpaceX stock. FCC approval is a key step to close it.
Supportive ifThe FCC grants required approval, and EchoStar reports that the AWS-3 sale has closed.
Worry ifThe FCC denies approval, or the sale is still open after its deadline.
Why it matters: No earnings date is listed. The next report can show revenue and progress on spectrum sales.
Watch forThe report shows revenue at or above $3.61 billion and confirms a spectrum sale closed.
Also watch forThe report shows revenue below $3.58 billion or says a planned spectrum sale is delayed.
Why it matters: The supplied figures show revenue at $3.58 billion in 2026-Q2, below $3.61 billion in 2025-Q3. A further drop would add pressure.
Worry ifA later report shows revenue below $3.58 billion.
Less concerning ifA later report shows revenue at or above $3.61 billion.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$173 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $452 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,084 loss on $10,000 · 40.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Selling more SATS shares can raise cash for Strive, but it can also dilute current holders.
Worry ifStrive reports SATS shares sold under the ATM program, with proceeds used for bitcoin or other stated needs.
Less concerning ifStrive reports no SATS shares sold under the program, or ends the program without sales.