Sabra Health Care REIT (SBRA)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$20.89-0.95%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SBRA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 12.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SBRA — earnings in line
Dated 2026-04-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 29, 2026, Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. (“Sabra”) issued a press release reporting its results of operations for the three month period ended March 31, 2026. The press release refers to the Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures that is available on the Investors section of Sabra’s website, free of charge, at www.sabrahealth.com. The text of the press release and the Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures are furnished her…
Why it matters: These deals would add to Sabra's senior housing and skilled nursing holdings. Their stated starting cash yield is about 7.7%.
Supportive ifSabra closes the awarded $100 million of deals by year-end, near the stated 7.7% starting cash yield.
Worry ifThe deals fail to close by year-end, or close at a starting cash yield well below 7.7%.
Why it matters: Sabra raised its 2026 outlook in July. Meeting that range would support its earnings growth plan.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 normalized FFO per share is $1.53 to $1.55, and normalized AFFO is $1.59 to $1.61.
Worry ifSabra cuts its 2026 outlook or reports full-year results below the low end of either range.
Why it matters: Sabra plans to move 26 Avamere sites to two new operators. The deal aims to lift annual cash rent from $41 million to $53 million.
Supportive ifSabra reports the handoff is complete, with annual cash rent near $53 million.
Worry ifThe handoff is delayed past 2026, fails to close, or annual cash rent is below $53 million.
Why it matters: Sabra's debt level fell to 4.61x in the second quarter. More debt could limit room for new deals and other spending.
Worry ifNet debt to adjusted EBITDA rises above 4.8x in a later 2026 report.
Less concerning ifNet debt to adjusted EBITDA stays at or below 4.8x through year-end.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$71 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $245 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,630 loss on $10,000 · 16.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.