Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR)
NASDAQHealth CareSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$28.52+4.93%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareSoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SDGR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SDGR — litigation filed
Dated 2026-11-04
shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act. Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 including, but not limited to those statem…
Why it matters: This is the company’s stated Q3 range, excluding grant work. A result in range supports its 2026 ACV goal.
Supportive ifQ3 ACV, excluding contribution ACV, is $41 million to $45 million.
Worry ifQ3 ACV, excluding contribution ACV, is below $41 million.
Why it matters: Hosted software was 47% of Q2 software revenue, while software revenue fell 10% and margin was 71%. More hosted sales matter if margins hold.
Watch forHosted software rises above 47% of software revenue, and software gross margin stays at or above 71%.
Also watch forHosted software share falls below 47%, or software gross margin falls below 71%.
Why it matters: Bunsen is in early access, and BMS has agreed to deploy it. Paid customer deals would show that users value the new tool.
Supportive ifThe company names a new paid Bunsen deal or reports higher software ACV linked to Bunsen.
Worry ifBy the next two earnings reports, the company reports no new paid Bunsen deal and no ACV growth linked to Bunsen.
Why it matters: ACV shows the value of software deals, apart from when revenue is booked. It tests the company’s 10% to 15% growth goal.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 ACV lands within the $218 million to $228 million range.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 ACV falls below $218 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$239 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $558 loss on $10,000 · 5.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,462 loss on $10,000 · 44.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.