Senseonics Holdings Inc (SENS)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.02+1.81%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SENS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -19.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 86.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 106.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 29 industry peers
SENS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 6, 2026, Senseonics Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, as well as information regarding a conference call to discuss these financial results and the Company’s recent corporate highlights and outlook. This press release has been furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by this reference. The information…
Why it matters: Margin gains have followed the move to in-house sales. A drop below the guide would weaken that sign.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is below 58%, or Senseonics cuts its full-year 58%–61% margin guide.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross margin is at least 58%, and the full-year guide stays at 58%–61% or rises.
Why it matters: More nurses can help the company handle more Eversense insertions. The Q2 update put the team at over 90.
Supportive ifSenseonics reports 100 or more Eon Care nurses by year-end, with Eon Care handling more than 40% of insertions.
Worry ifThe nurse count stays below 100 at year-end, or Eon Care handles no more than 40% of insertions.
Why it matters: The company is still losing money, despite raising more than $100 million in Q2. Cash use matters as sales teams and product work grow.
Worry ifQ3 net loss is above $36.7M, or cash and short-term investments fall below the Q2 total of $142.7M.
Less concerning ifQ3 net loss is below $36.7M and cash plus short-term investments stay at or above $142.7M.
Why it matters: Q3 results test whether strong U.S. sales and Europe’s return to normal support the higher 2026 target.
Watch forOn November 9, Senseonics keeps its $62M–$66M 2026 revenue guide and reports Q3 revenue that supports it.
Also watch forSenseonics cuts its $62M–$66M revenue guide or reports Q3 revenue that makes the target out of reach.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$234 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $707 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,180 loss on $10,000 · 41.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.