Reading SOBR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SOBR free→Reading SOBR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SOBR free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and compared with sector peers, it is below typical. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, which may help the company. Peer multiples imply a price about 54% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This means it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.88. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.88 SOBR trades at 3× p/s, below its 4× p/s peer median. Our $3.60 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 54% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 80%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.84x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
14 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$429.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,455.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,943.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SOBR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. As previously reported in the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on March 25, 2026, on March 19, 2026, SOBR Safe, Inc. (the “Company”) received a deficiency letter (the “Letter”) from the Listing Qualifications Department (the “Staff”) of the Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) notifying the Company that, for the preceding 30 consecutive business days, the closing bid price of the Compa…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SOBR SOBR SAFE INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 7 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Finalize the merger with Clean World Ventures to enhance strategic positioning.
Implement workforce restructuring to align with business needs and reduce costs.
Resolve the Nasdaq listing deficiency to maintain market presence.
Costs Associated With Exit or Disposal Activities. On May 7, 2026, the Company committed to and commenced a restructuring to reduce operating costs and better align its workforce with the needs of its business following its entry into the Agreement and Plan of Merger and Reorganization with Clean World Ventures Inc. and SOBR Safe Merger Sub, Inc., dated April 24, 2026, as previously recorded on the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on April 30, 2026. Under the restructuring plan, the…
Changes in Control of Registrant. To the extent required by this Item, the information included in
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement As previously reported on the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on December 30, 2025, on December 22, 2025, the Company entered into a letter of engagement (the “Placement Agent Agreement”) with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC (“HCW”), pursuant to which HCW has a right of first refusal to act as the Company’s exclusive financial advisor for the Merger. On April 30, 2026, in connection with the terms of the Merger Agreement, the Company and CW…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Merger Agreement On April 24, 2026, SOBR Safe, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into a Agreement and Plan of Merger and Reorganization (the “Merger Agreement”) with Clean World Ventures, Inc., a Nevada corporation (“CWV”), and SOBR Safe Merger Sub, Inc., a Nevada corporation and wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (“Merger Sub”), pursuant to which, among other matters, and subject to the satisfaction or waiver of the conditio…