S&P Global (SPGI)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$443.51-1.57%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SPGI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 38.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
SPGI — CEO transition
Dated 2026-07-06
Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer — Steven Kemps: Steven Kemps is retiring from his role as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer with a successor search underway.
Why it matters: The separation is a key strategic priority. It will clarify S&P Global's focus and operations.
Supportive ifThe Mobility division separation is done on time by mid-2026.
Worry ifReports say there are delays in the Mobility division split.
Why it matters: Debt issuance changes S&P Global's money choices and capital structure.
Watch forS&P Global issues new senior notes with good terms.
Also watch forS&P Global has problems or bad terms in the debt issuance process.
Why it matters: This may show a slowdown in the financial sector. It could affect S&P Global's performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: The spin-off's success is crucial for S&P Global's future strategy and focus. It will show how well the company can operate without Mobility.
Watch forPositive market reaction or revenue growth in core divisions post spin-off.
Also watch forNegative market reaction or decline in revenue from core divisions post spin-off.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$122 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $305 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,160 loss on $10,000 · 31.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A downward change would show lower profit expectations. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS guidance for 2026 revised down from the current range of $19.40 to $19.65.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EPS guidance for 2026 remains unchanged or is raised.
Why it matters: Lower CAPEX may mean less money spent on growth projects.
Worry ifCAPEX guidance reported below $215M.
Less concerning ifCAPEX guidance remains at or above $215M.
Why it matters: Confirming guidance of 6.3% to 8.3% growth shows S&P Global's strong market position.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth guidance remains within the 6.3% to 8.3% range.
Worry ifGuidance is revised down below 6.3% for Q3 revenue growth.
Why it matters: Achieving this EPS target shows S&P Global's ability to manage costs and grow profits.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS reported in Q3 falls within the $19.40 to $19.65 range.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS reported in Q3 is below $19.40.
Why it matters: Going over the buyback target shows strong cash flow. It also shows focus on returns for shareholders.
Supportive ifTotal share buybacks will be over $7 billion by the end of 2026.
Worry ifTotal share repurchases fall below $7 billion by year-end 2026.