S&P Global (SPGI)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-07-09
$432.92+0.49%
Close 2026-07-09 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $432.92. As of 2026-07-09. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $431 the market pays 23× p/e — above the 16× p/e peer median but in line with its own 27× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $326 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Even the durable-growth case — current growth held at sustainable margins — values it at about $428, at or below today's price, so you're paying beyond even the growth case. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $727.72 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $751.09 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $61.64 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $208.80 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $254.50 | 13.0 | 19.52 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $137.39 | 1.3 | 105.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $221.07 | 11.8 | 18.67 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $240.23 | 13.0 | 18.43 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $146.46 | 2.8 | 52.86 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $139.90 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $489.54 | 26.6 | 18.43 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $246.12 | 13.0 | 18.88 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $118.20 | 1.3 | 90.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $336.21 | 11.8 | 28.39 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $307.69 | 13.0 | 23.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $192.75 | 2.8 | 69.56 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $627.01 | 26.6 | 23.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $106.91 | 1.3 | 81.81 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $444.64 | 11.8 | 37.55 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $369.52 | 13.0 | 28.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $231.49 | 2.8 | 83.54 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $753.01 | 26.6 | 28.35 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.